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Primeira Liga

Referee: Bruno Miguel Duarte Paixao

Arouca

T S T S S

0–2

Full-time

Rio Ave

U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arouca Rio Ave

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 38%

33%

42%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

25%

58%

Both score Ø 46%

25%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,6

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

12 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arouca 12. · Rio Ave 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	13	10	2	1	+21	32
2	Porto	13	8	4	1	+19	28
3	Sp Lisbon	13	8	3	2	+12	27
4	Sp Braga	13	8	2	3	+12	26
5	Guimaraes	13	7	3	3	+7	24
6	Chaves	13	4	7	2	+2	19
7	Rio Ave	12	5	2	5	-1	17
8	Belenenses	13	4	5	4	-3	17
9	Maritimo	13	5	2	6	-3	17
10	Vitoria Setubal	13	4	4	5	-1	16
11	Estoril	13	4	3	6	-5	15
12	Arouca	12	4	2	6	-6	14
13	Boavista	13	3	4	6	-4	13
14	Pacos Ferreira	13	3	4	6	-6	13
15	Nacional	13	3	2	8	-8	11
16	Moreirense	13	3	2	8	-8	11
17	Feirense	13	3	2	8	-18	11
18	Tondela	13	2	3	8	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	7	6	1	0	+13	19
2	Sp Lisbon	7	6	1	0	+13	19
3	Benfica	6	5	1	0	+13	16
4	Porto	6	5	1	0	+10	16
5	Arouca	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Chaves	7	2	4	1	+1	10
7	Vitoria Setubal	7	3	1	3	+1	10
8	Maritimo	6	3	1	2	+1	10
9	Guimaraes	6	2	3	1	+2	9
10	Pacos Ferreira	6	2	3	1	+1	9
11	Belenenses	6	2	3	1	+0	9
12	Rio Ave	7	3	0	4	-2	9
13	Boavista	7	2	2	3	+1	8
14	Estoril	6	2	1	3	-2	7
15	Tondela	6	2	1	3	-2	7
16	Nacional	7	2	1	4	-5	7
17	Moreirense	6	1	2	3	-1	5
18	Feirense	7	1	1	5	-12	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	7	5	1	1	+8	16
2	Guimaraes	7	5	0	2	+5	15
3	Porto	7	3	3	1	+9	12
4	Chaves	6	2	3	1	+1	9
5	Rio Ave	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Sp Lisbon	6	2	2	2	-1	8
7	Belenenses	7	2	2	3	-3	8
8	Estoril	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Sp Braga	6	2	1	3	-1	7
10	Maritimo	7	2	1	4	-4	7
11	Feirense	6	2	1	3	-6	7
12	Vitoria Setubal	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	Moreirense	7	2	0	5	-7	6
14	Boavista	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Nacional	6	1	1	4	-3	4
16	Pacos Ferreira	7	1	1	5	-7	4
17	Arouca	6	1	1	4	-8	4
18	Tondela	7	0	2	5	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.