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Eredivisie

Referee: I Oostrom

Excelsior

T U T S S

2–2

Full-time

Roda

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Roda

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

5,0

4,2

Scored

2,2

2,0

Conceded

2,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

46% Possession 54%

17 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	32	25	4	3	+74	79
2	PSV Eindhoven	32	24	3	5	+42	75
3	Feyenoord	32	21	5	6	+42	68
4	Twente	32	18	8	6	+14	62
5	AZ Alkmaar	28	15	5	8	+17	50
6	Utrecht	30	12	9	9	+9	45
7	Vitesse	28	13	3	12	-9	42
8	Heerenveen	30	10	8	12	-7	38
9	Nijmegen	32	10	8	14	-12	38
10	Groningen	32	9	9	14	-10	36
11	Go Ahead Eagles	32	10	6	16	-11	36
12	Cambuur	32	10	5	17	-18	35
13	Heracles	32	9	7	16	-12	34
14	Waalwijk	32	7	11	14	-15	32
15	For Sittard	32	9	5	18	-31	32
16	Sparta Rotterdam	32	6	11	15	-22	29
17	Willem II	32	8	5	19	-28	29
18	Zwolle	32	7	6	19	-23	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	13	1	2	+49	40
2	PSV Eindhoven	16	13	0	3	+26	39
3	Feyenoord	16	11	3	2	+23	36
4	Twente	16	9	5	2	+12	32
5	AZ Alkmaar	14	9	3	2	+15	30
6	Utrecht	15	8	4	3	+12	28
7	Heracles	16	7	5	4	+3	26
8	Go Ahead Eagles	16	7	1	8	+2	22
9	Willem II	16	6	3	7	-5	21
10	For Sittard	16	6	2	8	-10	20
11	Groningen	16	4	6	6	-2	18
12	Heerenveen	15	5	3	7	-3	18
13	Waalwijk	16	5	3	8	-10	18
14	Cambuur	16	5	2	9	-6	17
15	Sparta Rotterdam	16	3	7	6	-7	16
16	Vitesse	14	5	1	8	-10	16
17	Zwolle	16	3	5	8	-6	14
18	Nijmegen	16	3	5	8	-8	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	12	3	1	+25	39
2	PSV Eindhoven	16	11	3	2	+16	36
3	Feyenoord	16	10	2	4	+19	32
4	Twente	16	9	3	4	+2	30
5	Vitesse	14	8	2	4	+1	26
6	Nijmegen	16	7	3	6	-4	24
7	AZ Alkmaar	14	6	2	6	+2	20
8	Heerenveen	15	5	5	5	-4	20
9	Groningen	16	5	3	8	-8	18
10	Cambuur	16	5	3	8	-12	18
11	Utrecht	15	4	5	6	-3	17
12	Waalwijk	16	2	8	6	-5	14
13	Go Ahead Eagles	16	3	5	8	-13	14
14	Sparta Rotterdam	16	3	4	9	-15	13
15	Zwolle	16	4	1	11	-17	13
16	For Sittard	16	3	3	10	-21	12
17	Heracles	16	2	2	12	-15	8
18	Willem II	16	2	2	12	-23	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.