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La Liga

Referee: Alberto Undiano

Vallecano

U T T U T

1–0

Full-time

Eibar

U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Eibar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 23%

38%

Points per game

0,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

69%

54%

Both score Ø 62%

69%

54%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

2,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%

5 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 4

3 Offside 6

15 Free kicks against 12

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vallecano 19. · Eibar 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	13	8	2	3	+11	26
2	Barcelona	13	7	4	2	+16	25
3	Ath Madrid	13	6	6	1	+8	24
4	Alaves	13	7	2	4	+4	23
5	Espanol	13	6	3	4	+4	21
6	Real Madrid	13	6	2	5	+1	20
7	Girona	13	5	5	3	+1	20
8	Sociedad	13	5	4	4	+2	19
9	Levante	13	5	3	5	-1	18
10	Eibar	13	5	3	5	-3	18
11	Valencia	13	3	8	2	+2	17
12	Getafe	13	4	5	4	+1	17
13	Valladolid	13	4	5	4	-1	17
14	Betis	13	4	4	5	-4	16
15	Celta	13	3	5	5	+1	14
16	Villarreal	13	3	5	5	-1	14
17	Leganes	13	3	4	6	-6	13
18	Ath Bilbao	13	1	8	4	-6	11
19	Vallecano	13	1	4	8	-14	7
20	Huesca	13	1	4	8	-15	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	7	5	2	0	+8	17
2	Sevilla	7	5	1	1	+5	16
3	Espanol	6	5	0	1	+5	15
4	Barcelona	7	4	2	1	+14	14
5	Alaves	6	4	2	0	+4	14
6	Real Madrid	6	4	1	1	+7	13
7	Eibar	7	4	1	2	+3	13
8	Leganes	6	3	2	1	+2	11
9	Celta	7	2	3	2	+3	9
10	Valencia	7	1	5	1	+2	8
11	Valladolid	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Betis	6	2	2	2	-2	8
13	Girona	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	Getafe	6	2	1	3	+0	7
15	Levante	6	2	1	3	-4	7
16	Ath Bilbao	7	1	4	2	-4	7
17	Sociedad	6	1	3	2	-1	6
18	Villarreal	7	1	3	3	-2	6
19	Huesca	6	0	3	3	-4	3
20	Vallecano	7	0	3	4	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	7	4	1	2	+3	13
2	Girona	6	3	3	0	+4	12
3	Levante	7	3	2	2	+3	11
4	Barcelona	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	+6	10
6	Getafe	7	2	4	1	+1	10
7	Alaves	7	3	0	4	+0	9
8	Valencia	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Valladolid	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	Villarreal	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Betis	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Ath Madrid	6	1	4	1	+0	7
13	Real Madrid	7	2	1	4	-6	7
14	Espanol	7	1	3	3	-1	6
15	Celta	6	1	2	3	-2	5
16	Eibar	6	1	2	3	-6	5
17	Ath Bilbao	6	0	4	2	-2	4
18	Vallecano	6	1	1	4	-5	4
19	Huesca	7	1	1	5	-11	4
20	Leganes	7	0	2	5	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.