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Primeira Liga

Referee: Antonio Nobre

Santa Clara

S S S T T

2–3

Full-time

Belenenses

T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Belenenses

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,7

1,2

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

70%

20%

Both score Ø 45%

60%

30%

Average goals

3,3

1,5

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%

14 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Santa Clara 9. · Belenenses 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	10	8	0	2	+15	24
2	Sp Lisbon	10	7	1	2	+8	22
3	Sp Braga	10	6	3	1	+9	21
4	Benfica	10	6	2	2	+8	20
5	Rio Ave	10	5	3	2	+4	18
6	Moreirense	10	5	1	4	-3	16
7	Guimaraes	10	4	3	3	+3	15
8	Vitoria Setubal	10	4	2	4	+2	14
9	Santa Clara	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Belenenses	10	2	6	2	-1	12
11	Portimonense	10	3	2	5	-6	11
12	Aves	10	3	1	6	-4	10
13	Maritimo	10	3	1	6	-7	10
14	Tondela	10	2	3	5	-2	9
15	Feirense	10	2	3	5	-4	9
16	Boavista	10	2	3	5	-6	9
17	Nacional	10	2	3	5	-9	9
18	Chaves	10	2	1	7	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	6	5	0	1	+11	15
2	Sp Lisbon	5	5	0	0	+8	15
3	Sp Braga	5	4	1	0	+6	13
4	Rio Ave	5	4	1	0	+5	13
5	Benfica	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Moreirense	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Vitoria Setubal	5	3	0	2	+3	9
8	Guimaraes	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Portimonense	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Aves	5	2	1	2	+2	7
11	Santa Clara	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Maritimo	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Feirense	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Tondela	6	1	2	3	-2	5
15	Belenenses	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Chaves	4	1	1	2	+0	4
17	Boavista	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Nacional	5	1	0	4	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	5	3	1	1	+6	10
2	Porto	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Sp Braga	5	2	2	1	+3	8
4	Guimaraes	5	2	1	2	+1	7
5	Santa Clara	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Belenenses	5	1	4	0	+1	7
7	Sp Lisbon	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Nacional	5	1	3	1	-1	6
9	Moreirense	5	2	0	3	-5	6
10	Rio Ave	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Vitoria Setubal	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Boavista	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Tondela	4	1	1	2	+0	4
14	Feirense	5	1	0	4	-4	3
15	Maritimo	5	1	0	4	-5	3
16	Aves	5	1	0	4	-6	3
17	Portimonense	5	1	0	4	-7	3
18	Chaves	6	1	0	5	-8	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.