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Serie A

Referee: Daniele Orsato

Fiorentina

S S S S S

0–0

Full-time

Spal

S U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

0,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,3

This season — Serie A · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 31%

45%

16%

Points per game

1,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

48%

39%

Both score Ø 57%

52%

61%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

24 Shots 4

6 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 4

14 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 7. · Spal 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	31	26	3	2	+56	81
2	Napoli	31	24	5	2	+45	77
3	Lazio	31	18	6	7	+35	60
4	Inter	32	16	12	4	+28	60
5	Roma	31	18	6	7	+24	60
6	Milan	31	15	7	9	+7	52
7	Fiorentina	31	14	8	9	+11	50
8	Atalanta	32	13	10	9	+13	49
9	Sampdoria	31	14	6	11	+4	48
10	Torino	32	11	13	8	+8	46
11	Genoa	32	10	8	14	-6	38
12	Bologna	31	10	5	16	-8	35
13	Udinese	32	10	3	19	-10	33
14	Cagliari	32	9	5	18	-22	32
15	Chievo	32	7	9	16	-22	30
16	Sassuolo	31	7	9	15	-30	30
17	Spal	31	5	12	14	-22	27
18	Crotone	32	7	6	19	-28	27
19	Verona	31	7	4	20	-36	25
20	Benevento	31	4	1	26	-47	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	15	13	1	1	+32	40
2	Napoli	16	12	2	2	+22	38
3	Inter	16	10	5	1	+19	35
4	Sampdoria	16	10	3	3	+14	33
5	Roma	16	9	1	6	+8	28
6	Milan	15	8	4	3	+3	28
7	Lazio	15	8	3	4	+21	27
8	Torino	16	7	5	4	+11	26
9	Atalanta	16	7	5	4	+9	26
10	Fiorentina	15	7	4	4	+4	25
11	Chievo	16	5	6	5	-3	21
12	Bologna	16	5	4	7	-1	19
13	Crotone	16	5	4	7	-5	19
14	Genoa	16	5	3	8	-4	18
15	Udinese	16	5	2	9	-2	17
16	Cagliari	16	5	2	9	-12	17
17	Spal	15	3	7	5	-8	16
18	Verona	16	5	1	10	-17	16
19	Benevento	16	4	1	11	-15	13
20	Sassuolo	15	2	6	7	-12	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	16	13	2	1	+24	41
2	Napoli	15	12	3	0	+23	39
3	Lazio	16	10	3	3	+14	33
4	Roma	15	9	5	1	+16	32
5	Inter	16	6	7	3	+9	25
6	Fiorentina	16	7	4	5	+7	25
7	Milan	16	7	3	6	+4	24
8	Atalanta	16	6	5	5	+4	23
9	Genoa	16	5	5	6	-2	20
10	Torino	16	4	8	4	-3	20
11	Sassuolo	16	5	3	8	-18	18
12	Bologna	15	5	1	9	-7	16
13	Udinese	16	5	1	10	-8	16
14	Sampdoria	15	4	3	8	-10	15
15	Cagliari	16	4	3	9	-10	15
16	Spal	16	2	5	9	-14	11
17	Verona	15	2	3	10	-19	9
18	Chievo	16	2	3	11	-19	9
19	Crotone	16	2	2	12	-23	8
20	Benevento	15	0	0	15	-32	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.