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Eredivisie

Referee: Siemen Mulder

Sparta Rotterdam

T S S T T

3–2

Full-time

VVV Venlo

U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam VVV Venlo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 21%

17%

24%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

55%

38%

Both score Ø 50%

52%

48%

Average goals

2,9

2,4

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

2,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%

24 Shots 19

8 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

26 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 17. · VVV Venlo 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	30	25	2	3	+45	77
2	Ajax	29	21	4	4	+51	67
3	AZ Alkmaar	30	19	5	6	+27	62
4	Feyenoord	29	15	6	8	+26	51
5	Zwolle	30	12	7	11	-3	43
6	Utrecht	25	11	7	7	+0	40
7	Vitesse	26	10	8	8	+8	38
8	Heerenveen	27	10	8	9	-3	38
9	Excelsior	30	11	5	14	-10	38
10	Heracles	29	10	7	12	-13	37
11	Den Haag	27	10	6	11	-7	36
12	VVV Venlo	29	7	13	9	-9	34
13	Willem II	30	8	6	16	-11	30
14	NAC Breda	30	8	6	16	-17	30
15	Groningen	29	6	11	12	-5	29
16	Roda	30	7	5	18	-28	26
17	Sparta Rotterdam	29	5	6	18	-31	21
18	Twente	29	4	8	17	-20	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	14	1	0	+32	43
2	Ajax	14	11	1	2	+26	34
3	Feyenoord	15	9	3	3	+16	30
4	Heracles	15	9	3	3	+7	30
5	AZ Alkmaar	15	9	2	4	+10	29
6	Zwolle	15	8	3	4	+8	27
7	Utrecht	12	6	5	1	+4	23
8	Groningen	15	5	7	3	+6	22
9	Willem II	15	6	3	6	+6	21
10	NAC Breda	15	6	1	8	-7	19
11	Den Haag	14	5	3	6	-3	18
12	Heerenveen	13	5	3	5	-4	18
13	Vitesse	13	4	5	4	+1	17
14	VVV Venlo	15	3	6	6	-5	15
15	Roda	15	4	3	8	-12	15
16	Twente	14	3	5	6	-6	14
17	Sparta Rotterdam	14	4	2	8	-14	14
18	Excelsior	15	3	4	8	-7	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	11	1	3	+13	34
2	Ajax	15	10	3	2	+25	33
3	AZ Alkmaar	15	10	3	2	+17	33
4	Excelsior	15	8	1	6	-3	25
5	Feyenoord	14	6	3	5	+10	21
6	Vitesse	13	6	3	4	+7	21
7	Heerenveen	14	5	5	4	+1	20
8	VVV Venlo	14	4	7	3	-4	19
9	Den Haag	13	5	3	5	-4	18
10	Utrecht	13	5	2	6	-4	17
11	Zwolle	15	4	4	7	-11	16
12	NAC Breda	15	2	5	8	-10	11
13	Roda	15	3	2	10	-16	11
14	Willem II	15	2	3	10	-17	9
15	Groningen	14	1	4	9	-11	7
16	Sparta Rotterdam	15	1	4	10	-17	7
17	Heracles	14	1	4	9	-20	7
18	Twente	15	1	3	11	-14	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.