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Championship
Referee: Simon Hooper
Millwall
S S S S U
2–0
Full-time
Bristol City
T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
This season — Championship · 40/40 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
40%
53%
Both score Ø 49%
45%
53%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
12 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Millwall 8. · Bristol City 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 41 27 8 6 +38 89
2 Cardiff 40 24 8 8 +28 80
3 Fulham 37 20 11 6 +29 71
4 Aston Villa 38 19 9 10 +23 66
5 Derby 37 17 13 7 +20 64
6 Middlesbrough 38 18 8 12 +18 62
7 Bristol City 40 16 14 10 +11 62
8 Millwall 40 16 14 10 +11 62
9 Sheffield United 41 18 8 15 +7 62
10 Preston 40 15 15 10 +7 60
11 Brentford 40 15 13 12 +9 58
12 Norwich 41 14 13 14 -6 55
13 Ipswich 40 15 8 17 -2 53
14 Leeds 40 15 8 17 -4 53
15 QPR 40 13 11 16 -8 50
16 Sheffield Weds 40 11 14 15 -6 47
17 Nott'm Forest 39 13 7 19 -13 46
18 Hull 40 9 14 17 -6 41
19 Reading 40 9 12 19 -15 39
20 Bolton 40 9 12 19 -25 39
21 Birmingham 40 11 6 23 -27 39
22 Barnsley 40 8 13 19 -18 37
23 Sunderland 40 6 13 21 -29 31
24 Burton Albion 40 7 10 23 -42 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Millwall Bristol City
1–0 J. Wallace
B. Marshall
11′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 S. Morison
L. Gregory
52′
57′
🔁 F. Diedhiou
↦ J. Brownhill
57′
🔁 M. Đurić
↦ C. ODowda
76′
🔁 N. Eliasson
↦ E. Pisano
F. Onyedinma 🔁
↦ B. Marshall
80′
T. Cahill 🔁
↦ L. Gregory
83′
George Saville 🟨
85′
J. Shackell 🔁
↦ S. Morison
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Millwall

4-4-2
1 J. Archer G
3 J. Meredith D
4 S. Hutchinson D
12 M. Romeo D
35 J. Cooper D
6 S. Williams M
44 B. Marshall M
14 J. Wallace M
23 G. Saville M
20 S. Morison F
9 L. Gregory F
Bench (7)
10 F. Onyedinma
7 T. Cahill
24 J. Shackell
16 D. Martin
18 R. Tunnicliffe
19 T. Elliott
22 A. O'Brien

Coach: N. Harris

Bristol City

4-1-4-1
1 F. Fielding G
2 E. Pisano D
4 A. Flint D
6 N. Baker D
3 J. Bryan D
7 K. Smith M
21 M. Pack M
14 B. Reid F
11 C. O'Dowda M
8 J. Brownhill M
20 J. Paterson M
Bench (7)
9 F. Diedhiou
22 M. Đurić
19 N. Eliasson
5 B. Wright
15 L. Steele
25 L. Kelly
28 G. O'Neil

Coach: L. Johnson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Simon Hooper · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.