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Primeira Liga
Referee: Helder Malheiro
Rio Ave
S U S T S
2–0
Full-time
Boavista
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Boavista
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 45%
50%
39%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
44%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
56%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
15 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rio Ave 5. · Boavista 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 18 15 3 0 +37 48
2 Sp Lisbon 19 14 5 0 +31 47
3 Benfica 19 14 4 1 +34 46
4 Sp Braga 19 13 1 5 +18 40
5 Rio Ave 18 9 3 6 +7 30
6 Maritimo 19 8 5 6 -3 29
7 Chaves 19 7 5 7 -4 26
8 Boavista 18 7 3 8 -2 24
9 Guimaraes 18 7 2 9 -9 23
10 Tondela 19 6 4 9 -6 22
11 Feirense 19 6 2 11 -7 20
12 Belenenses 19 5 5 9 -9 20
13 Portimonense 19 4 6 9 -7 18
14 Pacos Ferreira 19 4 6 9 -13 18
15 Moreirense 19 3 6 10 -15 15
16 Aves 19 3 5 11 -15 14
17 Vitoria Setubal 19 2 8 9 -16 14
18 Estoril 17 3 3 11 -21 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rio Ave Boavista
1–0 Guedes
João Novais
14′
Hélder Guedes 🟨
15′
24′
🟨 Mateus
Half-time 1–0
Marcão Teixeira 🔁
↦ Lionn
57′
67′
🟨 Fábio Espinho
Nuno Santos 🔁
↦ O. Barreto
68′
João Novais 🟨
69′
71′
🔁 Rochinha
↦ Kuca
75′
🔁 Rui Sousa
↦ Fábio Espinho
84′
🔁 Y. Njie
↦ Nuno Henrique
Pedro Moreira 🔁
↦ Guedes
89′
90′
🟨 Carraça
2–0 Yuri Ribeiro
Pelé
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Rio Ave

4-2-3-1
71 Rui Vieira G
3 Lionn D
46 Marcelo D
5 Yuri Ribeiro D
4 Nélson Monte D
8 Tarantini M
25 Pelé M
70 O. Barreto M
17 João Novais M
12 Chico Geraldes M
7 Guedes F
Bench (7)
96 Marcão Teixeira
20 Nuno Santos
6 Pedro Moreira
90 G. Makaridze
9 Gelson
21 Leandrinho
26 Gabrielzinho

Coach: Miguel Cardoso

Boavista

4-4-2
33 Vagner G
23 Nuno Henrique D
5 Talocha D
6 Robson
22 S. Sparagna M
25 David Simão M
10 Fábio Espinho M
17 Carraça D
9 Mateus M
18 Kuca M
59 L. Acevedo F
Bench (7)
16 Rochinha
27 Rui Sousa
8 Y. Njie
13 Assis
21 A. Tahar
28 Tiago Mesquita
90 Vítor Bruno

Coach: Jorge Simão

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Helder Malheiro · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.