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Championship
Referee: Peter Bankes
Ipswich
U T S S T
2–0
Full-time
Reading
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ipswich Reading
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Championship · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 41%
48%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
57%
48%
Both score Ø 55%
52%
57%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

27% Possession 73%
15 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 14
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ipswich 8. · Reading 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 22 16 3 3 +25 51
2 Cardiff 21 13 5 3 +16 44
3 Bristol City 21 11 7 3 +12 40
4 Derby 20 11 4 5 +12 37
5 Sheffield United 21 12 1 8 +8 37
6 Aston Villa 19 9 6 4 +10 33
7 Leeds 21 10 3 8 +7 33
8 Ipswich 21 10 2 9 +3 32
9 Preston 21 8 8 5 +3 32
10 Middlesbrough 20 9 4 7 +7 31
11 Nott'm Forest 21 10 0 11 -4 30
12 Fulham 19 7 7 5 +1 28
13 Brentford 21 6 9 6 +3 27
14 Reading 21 7 6 8 +2 27
15 Sheffield Weds 22 6 9 7 -1 27
16 Norwich 21 7 6 8 -6 27
17 Millwall 21 5 8 8 +1 23
18 Hull 21 5 7 9 -2 22
19 QPR 21 5 7 9 -9 22
20 Barnsley 21 5 5 11 -10 20
21 Bolton 21 3 7 11 -19 16
22 Birmingham 21 4 4 13 -20 16
23 Sunderland 21 2 9 10 -12 15
24 Burton Albion 21 3 5 13 -27 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ipswich Reading
1–0 C. Connolly
M. Waghorn
3′
8′
🟨 Modou Barrow
9′
🟨 Leandro Bacuna
2–0 J. Garner
A. Webster
27′
Martyn Waghorn 🟨
34′
Half-time 2–0
K. Bru 🔁
↦ C. Skuse
46′
52′
🟨 Paul McShane
66′
🟨 David Edwards
Jonas Knudsen 🟨
69′
74′
🔁 L. Kelly
↦ T. Blackett
77′
🔁 J. Böðvarsson
↦ S. Aluko
Adam Webster 🟨
88′
D. Iorfa 🔁
↦ B. Celina
89′
F. Sears 🔁
↦ J. Garner
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ipswich

4-2-3-1
33 B. Bialkowski G
6 A. Webster D
4 L. Chambers D
12 J. Spence D
3 J. Knudsen D
16 C. Connolly M
8 C. Skuse M
18 G. Ward M
9 M. Waghorn F
14 J. Garner F
11 B. Celina M
Bench (7)
28 K. Bru
2 D. Iorfa
20 F. Sears
5 T. Smith
7 T. Bishop
10 D. McGoldrick
24 M. Crowe

Coach: M. McCarthy

Reading

4-3-3
1 V. Mannone G
5 P. McShane D
2 C. Gunter D
6 L. Moore D
24 T. Blackett D
14 S. Aluko M
16 D. Edwards M
4 J. van den Berg
19 L. Bacuna M
18 Y. Kermorgant F
17 M. Barrow M
Bench (7)
38 L. Kelly
23 J. Böðvarsson
7 R. Beerens
20 Tiago Ilori
22 P. Clement
31 A. Jaakkola
50 O. Richards

Coach: J. Stam

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Peter Bankes · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.