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La Liga

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Sp Gijon

T T T U T

2–4

Full-time

Alaves

S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,7

1,0

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

1,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 20%

15%

25%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

75%

35%

Both score Ø 58%

70%

45%

Average goals

3,0

1,9

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%

12 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 4

1 Offside 6

20 Free kicks against 20

7 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Gijon 18. · Alaves 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	19	14	4	1	+34	46
2	Barcelona	21	13	6	2	+37	45
3	Sevilla	21	13	4	4	+15	43
4	Ath Madrid	21	11	6	4	+20	39
5	Villarreal	21	9	8	4	+14	35
6	Sociedad	20	11	2	7	+3	35
7	Eibar	21	9	5	7	+3	32
8	Espanol	21	8	8	5	+2	32
9	Ath Bilbao	21	9	5	7	+1	32
10	Celta	20	9	3	8	-2	30
11	Las Palmas	20	7	7	6	+0	28
12	Alaves	20	5	9	6	-3	24
13	Betis	20	6	5	9	-10	23
14	Malaga	21	5	7	9	-7	22
15	La Coruna	20	4	7	9	-7	19
16	Valencia	20	5	4	11	-11	19
17	Leganes	21	4	6	11	-20	18
18	Sp Gijon	20	3	4	13	-19	13
19	Osasuna	20	1	7	12	-22	10
20	Granada	20	1	7	12	-28	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	9	2	0	+19	29
2	Sevilla	10	8	1	1	+10	25
3	Ath Bilbao	11	7	3	1	+8	24
4	Ath Madrid	10	7	2	1	+15	23
5	Villarreal	11	7	2	2	+12	23
6	Las Palmas	11	6	5	0	+11	23
7	Barcelona	10	6	3	1	+19	21
8	Celta	10	7	0	3	+3	21
9	Sociedad	10	6	2	2	+4	20
10	Eibar	11	6	2	3	+2	20
11	Espanol	11	4	5	2	+4	17
12	Malaga	10	5	2	3	+3	17
13	Betis	11	4	5	2	+0	17
14	La Coruna	9	4	2	3	+5	14
15	Alaves	10	2	6	2	-1	12
16	Sp Gijon	9	3	1	5	-7	10
17	Valencia	9	2	2	5	-8	8
18	Granada	9	1	4	4	-4	7
19	Leganes	10	1	4	5	-8	7
20	Osasuna	11	0	4	7	-12	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	7	3	1	+18	24
2	Sevilla	11	5	3	3	+5	18
3	Real Madrid	8	5	2	1	+15	17
4	Ath Madrid	11	4	4	3	+5	16
5	Sociedad	10	5	0	5	-1	15
6	Espanol	10	4	3	3	-2	15
7	Villarreal	10	2	6	2	+2	12
8	Eibar	10	3	3	4	+1	12
9	Alaves	10	3	3	4	-2	12
10	Valencia	11	3	2	6	-3	11
11	Leganes	11	3	2	6	-12	11
12	Celta	10	2	3	5	-5	9
13	Ath Bilbao	10	2	2	6	-7	8
14	Osasuna	9	1	3	5	-10	6
15	Betis	9	2	0	7	-10	6
16	Malaga	11	0	5	6	-10	5
17	Las Palmas	9	1	2	6	-11	5
18	La Coruna	11	0	5	6	-12	5
19	Sp Gijon	11	0	3	8	-12	3
20	Granada	11	0	3	8	-24	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.