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Ligue 1
Referee: Tony Chapron
St Etienne
T U U S S
2–0
Full-time
Lyon
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 22/21 matches
Win Ø 47%
36%
57%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
32%
62%
Both score Ø 49%
45%
52%
Average goals
1,9
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,9
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

31% Possession 69%
14 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match St Etienne 5. · Lyon 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Monaco 23 16 4 3 +46 52
2 Paris SG 23 15 4 4 +28 49
3 Nice 23 14 7 2 +20 49
4 Lyon 21 12 1 8 +15 37
5 St Etienne 22 8 9 5 +6 33
6 Marseille 23 9 6 8 +1 33
7 Bordeaux 23 8 9 6 -3 33
8 Guingamp 23 8 7 8 +1 31
9 Rennes 23 8 7 8 -4 31
10 Toulouse 23 8 5 10 +0 29
11 Nancy 22 7 6 9 -7 27
12 Lille 23 7 5 11 -7 26
13 Montpellier 23 6 8 9 -8 26
14 Metz 22 7 5 10 -16 26
15 Nantes 23 7 5 11 -16 26
16 Caen 22 7 4 11 -11 25
17 Dijon 23 5 9 9 -4 24
18 Angers 23 6 5 12 -13 23
19 Bastia 23 5 7 11 -8 22
20 Lorient 23 6 3 14 -20 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Lyon
1–0 K. Monnet-Paquet ⚽
H. Saivet
9′
2–0 R. Hamouma ⚽
A. Søderlund
22′
43′
🟨 Nabil Fekir
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 R. Ghezzal
↦ N. Fekir
61′
🟨 Alexandre Lacazette
65′
🔁 M. Valbuena
↦ M. Depay
Alexander Søderlund 🟨
69′
Vincent Pajot 🟨
75′
N. Roux 🔁
↦ K. Monnet-Paquet
75′
O. Selnæs 🔁
↦ V. Pajot
77′
81′
🔁 J. Ferri
↦ Sergi Darder
86′
🟨 Rachid Ghezzal
F. Lemoine 🔁
↦ R. Hamouma
87′
90′
🟨 Rachid Ghezzal
90′
🟥 Corentin Tolisso
90′
🟥 Rachid Ghezzal
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-3-3
30 J. Moulin G
24 L. Perrin D
2 K. Théophile Catherine D
19 F. Pogba D
25 K. Malcuit D
5 V. Pajot M
14 J. Veretout M
22 K. Monnet-Paquet M
11 H. Saivet M
23 A. Søderlund F
21 R. Hamouma M
Bench (7)
9 N. Roux
17 O. Selnæs
18 F. Lemoine
26 Jorginho
1 A. Maisonnial
4 L. Lacroix
33 R. Pierre-Gabriel

Coach: C. Galtier

Lyon

4-3-3
1 Anthony Lopes G
13 C. Jallet D
15 J. Morel D
2 M. Yanga-Mbiwa D
4 E. Mammana D
21 M. Gonalons M
14 Sergi Darder M
8 C. Tolisso M
10 A. Lacazette F
9 M. Depay F
18 N. Fekir M
Bench (7)
11 R. Ghezzal
28 M. Valbuena
12 J. Ferri
27 M. Cornet
29 L. Tousart
30 M. Gorgelin
31 M. Rybus

Coach: B. Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

Tony Chapron · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.