La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sociedad
Osasuna
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | +34 | 46 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | +37 | 45 |
| 3 |
Sevilla
|
21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | +15 | 43 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | +20 | 39 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | +14 | 35 |
| 6 |
Sociedad
|
20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | +3 | 35 |
| 7 |
Eibar
|
21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 32 |
| 8 |
Espanol
|
21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | +2 | 32 |
| 9 |
Ath Bilbao
|
21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | +1 | 32 |
| 10 |
Celta
|
20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 |
Las Palmas
|
20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | +0 | 28 |
| 12 |
Alaves
|
21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | -1 | 27 |
| 13 |
Betis
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -10 | 23 |
| 14 |
Malaga
|
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -7 | 22 |
| 15 |
La Coruna
|
20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -7 | 19 |
| 16 |
Valencia
|
20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 |
Leganes
|
21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -20 | 18 |
| 18 |
Sp Gijon
|
21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | -21 | 13 |
| 19 |
Osasuna
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Granada
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -28 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Real Madrid
Sociedad
Sociedad
Celta
Malaga
Sociedad
Sociedad
Sevilla
Granada
Sociedad
Santiago Jaime Latre · 81 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.