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Serie A
Referee: Celi Domenico
Napoli
S U S S S
1–1
Full-time
Palermo
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Palermo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,8
3,0
Scored
3,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-1,0
This season — Serie A · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 36%
62%
10%
Points per game
2,1
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
71%
48%
Both score Ø 65%
67%
62%
Average goals
3,4
2,8
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,1
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

75% Possession 25%
19 Shots 3
10 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 9
14 Corners 2
0 Offside 4
6 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Napoli 3. · Palermo 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 21 17 0 4 +28 51
2 Roma 22 15 2 5 +23 47
3 Napoli 21 13 5 3 +23 44
4 Inter 22 13 3 6 +14 42
5 Lazio 22 12 4 6 +10 40
6 Atalanta 22 12 3 7 +9 39
7 Milan 21 11 4 6 +6 37
8 Fiorentina 21 9 7 5 +8 34
9 Torino 22 8 7 7 +7 31
10 Udinese 22 8 4 10 -2 28
11 Chievo 22 8 4 10 -8 28
12 Sampdoria 22 7 6 9 -4 27
13 Bologna 21 7 6 8 -5 27
14 Cagliari 22 8 3 11 -14 27
15 Genoa 22 6 7 9 -5 25
16 Sassuolo 22 7 3 12 -6 24
17 Empoli 22 5 6 11 -17 21
18 Crotone 21 3 4 14 -17 13
19 Palermo 21 2 4 15 -24 10
20 Pescara 21 1 6 14 -26 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.