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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Clos Gomez

Ath Bilbao

T S U U U

2–1

Full-time

Sp Gijon

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Sp Gijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 29%

42%

16%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

58%

74%

Both score Ø 66%

63%

68%

Average goals

2,4

2,9

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

11 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 0

6 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 22

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 8. · Sp Gijon 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	18	13	4	1	+31	43
2	Barcelona	20	12	6	2	+34	42
3	Sevilla	20	13	3	4	+15	42
4	Ath Madrid	20	10	6	4	+18	36
5	Sociedad	19	11	2	6	+6	35
6	Villarreal	20	9	7	4	+14	34
7	Celta	20	9	3	8	-2	30
8	Ath Bilbao	19	8	5	6	+3	29
9	Espanol	20	7	8	5	+1	29
10	Eibar	20	8	5	7	-1	29
11	Las Palmas	19	6	7	6	-2	25
12	Alaves	20	5	9	6	-3	24
13	Betis	20	6	5	9	-10	23
14	Malaga	20	5	7	8	-6	22
15	Valencia	18	5	4	9	-5	19
16	La Coruna	20	4	7	9	-7	19
17	Leganes	20	4	6	10	-18	18
18	Sp Gijon	19	3	4	12	-18	13
19	Osasuna	20	1	7	12	-22	10
20	Granada	20	1	7	12	-28	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	10	8	2	0	+16	26
2	Sevilla	9	8	0	1	+10	24
3	Villarreal	11	7	2	2	+12	23
4	Ath Bilbao	10	6	3	1	+7	21
5	Celta	10	7	0	3	+3	21
6	Ath Madrid	9	6	2	1	+13	20
7	Las Palmas	10	5	5	0	+9	20
8	Sociedad	10	6	2	2	+4	20
9	Eibar	11	6	2	3	+2	20
10	Barcelona	9	5	3	1	+16	18
11	Espanol	11	4	5	2	+4	17
12	Malaga	9	5	2	2	+4	17
13	Betis	11	4	5	2	+0	17
14	La Coruna	9	4	2	3	+5	14
15	Alaves	10	2	6	2	-1	12
16	Sp Gijon	9	3	1	5	-7	10
17	Valencia	8	2	2	4	-4	8
18	Granada	9	1	4	4	-4	7
19	Leganes	10	1	4	5	-8	7
20	Osasuna	11	0	4	7	-12	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	7	3	1	+18	24
2	Sevilla	11	5	3	3	+5	18
3	Real Madrid	8	5	2	1	+15	17
4	Ath Madrid	11	4	4	3	+5	16
5	Sociedad	9	5	0	4	+2	15
6	Alaves	10	3	3	4	-2	12
7	Espanol	9	3	3	3	-3	12
8	Villarreal	9	2	5	2	+2	11
9	Valencia	10	3	2	5	-1	11
10	Leganes	10	3	2	5	-10	11
11	Eibar	9	2	3	4	-3	9
12	Celta	10	2	3	5	-5	9
13	Ath Bilbao	9	2	2	5	-4	8
14	Osasuna	9	1	3	5	-10	6
15	Betis	9	2	0	7	-10	6
16	Malaga	11	0	5	6	-10	5
17	Las Palmas	9	1	2	6	-11	5
18	La Coruna	11	0	5	6	-12	5
19	Sp Gijon	10	0	3	7	-11	3
20	Granada	11	0	3	8	-24	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.