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Eredivisie
Referee: Jochem Kamphuis
Nijmegen
S T U T S
1–0
Full-time
Willem II
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 36%
47%
24%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
41%
65%
Both score Ø 53%
41%
65%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
10 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Nijmegen 6. · Willem II 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 18 14 2 2 +35 44
2 PSV Eindhoven 18 12 5 1 +25 41
3 Feyenoord 18 11 3 4 +17 36
4 Vitesse 18 9 4 5 +20 31
5 Zwolle 17 8 4 5 +7 28
6 Nijmegen 17 8 3 6 +4 27
7 Heracles 16 8 3 5 +3 27
8 Groningen 17 7 5 5 -3 26
9 Utrecht 16 6 5 5 +3 23
10 AZ Alkmaar 18 6 4 8 -4 22
11 Den Haag 18 4 8 6 -2 20
12 Heerenveen 18 5 5 8 -10 20
13 Willem II 17 4 6 7 -1 18
14 Excelsior 18 4 5 9 -13 17
15 Roda 18 3 7 8 -17 16
16 Twente 18 4 4 10 -19 16
17 Cambuur 18 2 7 9 -23 13
18 De Graafschap 18 2 2 14 -22 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Aug -15 Willem II – Nijmegen 0–1

Match report

Nijmegen Willem II
1–0 C. Santos
20′
38′
🟨 Freek Heerkens
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Koppers
↦ F. Heerkens
57′
🔁 A. Kawaya
↦ R. Zivkovic
Joey Sleegers 🟨
71′
73′
🔁 R. Haemhouts
↦ L. Andersen
74′
🟨 Frank van der Struijk
S. Lundholm 🔁
↦ J. Sleegers
75′
Wojciech Golla 🟨
79′
M. Rayhi 🔁
↦ A. Limbombe
84′
85′
🟨 Frank van der Struijk
85′
🟥 Frank van der Struijk
Lucas Woudenberg 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Nijmegen

30 B. Jones G
2 M. Appiah D
4 W. Golla D
16 T. Kane M
15 L. Woudenberg D
8 G. Breinburg M
25 N. Foor M
9 J. Sleegers M
19 Janio Bikel M
11 C. Santos F
10 A. Limbombe F
Bench (7)
7 S. Lundholm
20 M. Rayhi
5 B. Buysse
17 M. Roman
24 M. Ritzmaier
29 G. Smit
37 J. Leiwakabessy

Willem II

1 K. Lamprou G
20 F. van der Struijk
4 J. Peters D
15 D. Wuytens D
3 F. Heerkens D
23 N. van der Velden
10 E. Falkenburg F
29 S. Wuytens D
6 F. Ojo M
18 L. Andersen M
9 R. Zivkovic F
Bench (7)
5 D. Koppers
38 A. Kawaya
8 R. Haemhouts
2 R. Ligeon
17 R. Braber
21 D. Meul
37 A. Nemec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jochem Kamphuis · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.