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Eredivisie

Referee: Richard Liesveld

PSV Eindhoven

S S S S S

1–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

2,7

0,7

Conceded

0,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 56%

77%

35%

Points per game

2,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

65%

62%

Both score Ø 62%

62%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

2,6

1,4

Conceded

0,9

1,9

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

16 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 0

3 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 1. · Heerenveen 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	26	20	5	1	+43	65
2	Ajax	26	20	4	2	+48	64
3	Feyenoord	26	13	4	9	+12	43
4	AZ Alkmaar	26	13	4	9	+9	43
5	Vitesse	26	11	7	8	+21	40
6	Nijmegen	26	11	6	9	+0	39
7	Zwolle	25	11	5	9	+6	38
8	Heracles	24	10	5	9	-5	35
9	Groningen	25	9	7	9	-8	34
10	Twente	27	10	4	13	-13	34
11	Den Haag	26	8	9	9	-2	33
12	Heerenveen	26	9	6	11	-14	33
13	Utrecht	23	9	5	9	+4	32
14	Roda	27	6	10	11	-15	28
15	Willem II	26	5	10	11	-8	25
16	Excelsior	26	5	7	14	-21	22
17	De Graafschap	27	4	5	18	-22	17
18	Cambuur	26	3	7	16	-35	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	11	1	1	+30	34
2	PSV Eindhoven	12	10	2	0	+19	32
3	Nijmegen	14	9	2	3	+7	29
4	Feyenoord	13	8	2	3	+13	26
5	AZ Alkmaar	14	8	2	4	+9	26
6	Twente	13	8	1	4	+5	25
7	Groningen	13	7	3	3	+5	24
8	Vitesse	13	7	2	4	+16	23
9	Zwolle	12	7	2	3	+4	23
10	Heracles	12	7	2	3	+2	23
11	Heerenveen	13	5	4	4	-3	19
12	Utrecht	10	5	3	2	+4	18
13	Den Haag	13	3	7	3	-1	16
14	Willem II	13	3	6	4	-1	15
15	Roda	14	3	6	5	-5	15
16	De Graafschap	14	3	3	8	-6	12
17	Excelsior	13	3	3	7	-9	12
18	Cambuur	13	2	4	7	-16	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	3	1	+24	33
2	Ajax	13	9	3	1	+18	30
3	Vitesse	13	4	5	4	+5	17
4	AZ Alkmaar	12	5	2	5	+0	17
5	Feyenoord	13	5	2	6	-1	17
6	Den Haag	13	5	2	6	-1	17
7	Zwolle	13	4	3	6	+2	15
8	Utrecht	13	4	2	7	+0	14
9	Heerenveen	13	4	2	7	-11	14
10	Roda	13	3	4	6	-10	13
11	Heracles	12	3	3	6	-7	12
12	Willem II	13	2	4	7	-7	10
13	Nijmegen	12	2	4	6	-7	10
14	Excelsior	13	2	4	7	-12	10
15	Groningen	12	2	4	6	-13	10
16	Twente	14	2	3	9	-18	9
17	Cambuur	13	1	3	9	-19	6
18	De Graafschap	13	1	2	10	-16	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.