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La Liga
Referee: Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo
Vallecano
U U U T T
1–1
Full-time
Eibar
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 29%
21%
36%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
75%
46%
Both score Ø 59%
64%
54%
Average goals
3,5
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
2,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
12 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 0
5 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Vallecano 17. · Eibar 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 29 24 3 2 +62 75
2 Ath Madrid 29 21 4 4 +33 67
3 Real Madrid 28 18 6 4 +54 60
4 Villarreal 28 15 8 5 +14 53
5 Sevilla 28 12 9 7 +10 45
6 Celta 29 13 6 10 -10 45
7 Ath Bilbao 28 13 5 10 +8 44
8 Eibar 28 10 6 12 +0 36
9 Malaga 29 9 9 11 +0 36
10 Sociedad 29 9 8 12 -3 35
11 Valencia 28 8 10 10 +0 34
12 Betis 28 8 10 10 -10 34
13 La Coruna 29 6 15 8 -5 33
14 Espanol 28 9 4 15 -26 31
15 Las Palmas 28 8 6 14 -10 30
16 Getafe 29 7 6 16 -24 27
17 Vallecano 28 6 8 14 -22 26
18 Granada 28 7 5 16 -24 26
19 Sp Gijon 29 6 6 17 -21 24
20 Levante 28 5 6 17 -26 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Nov -15 Eibar – Vallecano 1–0

Match report

Vallecano Eibar
1–0 Zé Castro
Roberto Trashorras
7′
Aras Özbiliz 🟨
33′
36′
G. Escalante 1–1
Juncà
Diego Llorente 🟨
44′
Miku Fedor 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
Adri Embarba 🔁
↦ A. Özbiliz
46′
Quini 🔁
↦ Nacho Martínez
46′
Piti 🟨
59′
67′
🟨 Josip Radošević
Manucho Gonçalves 🔁
↦ Piti
70′
Adrian Embarba 🟨
76′
79′
🔁 Sergi Enrich
↦ G. Escalante
80′
🟨 Iván Ramis
85′
🟨 Josip Radošević
85′
🟥 Josip Radošević
89′
🔁 Iñigo Barrenetxea
↦ T. Inui
90′
🔁 Ansotegi
↦ Borja Bastón
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Vallecano

25 Yoel G
18 Zé Castro D
2 Tito D
3 Nacho Martínez D
27 Diego Llorente D
6 M. Iturra M
10 Roberto Trashorras M
12 Piti F
16 A. Özbiliz F
7 N. Fedor F
23 Bebé F
Bench (7)
11 Adri Embarba
17 Quini
9 Manucho Gonçalves
4 Antonio Amaya
13 Juan Carlos
24 Javi Guerra
26 Jonatan Caballero

Eibar

13 Asier Riesgo G
4 Ramis D
15 M. Dos Santos D
17 Juncà D
8 T. Inui M
24 Adrián M
14 Dani García M
6 J. Radošević M
7 Ander Capa D
5 G. Escalante M
18 Borja Bastón F
Bench (7)
9 Sergi Enrich
28 Iñigo Barrenetxea
2 Ansotegi
3 A. Pantić
1 Xabi Irureta
11 I. Hajrović
29 Asier Etxaburu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.