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Eredivisie

Referee: Kevin Blom

De Graafschap

S T U U U

0–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

De Graafschap Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 23%

13%

33%

Points per game

0,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

67%

63%

Both score Ø 65%

63%

67%

Average goals

3,1

3,4

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,9

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

15 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 1

3 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match De Graafschap 18. · Heerenveen 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	25	19	5	1	+40	62
2	Ajax	24	18	4	2	+41	58
3	AZ Alkmaar	24	12	4	8	+10	40
4	Vitesse	25	10	7	8	+20	37
5	Feyenoord	24	11	4	9	+9	37
6	Nijmegen	25	10	6	9	-1	36
7	Zwolle	23	10	5	8	+6	35
8	Heracles	23	10	5	8	-4	35
9	Groningen	24	9	7	8	-5	34
10	Twente	25	9	4	12	-13	31
11	Den Haag	25	7	9	9	-3	30
12	Heerenveen	24	8	6	10	-11	30
13	Utrecht	21	8	5	8	+1	29
14	Roda	25	6	10	9	-11	28
15	Willem II	25	5	10	10	-4	25
16	Excelsior	25	5	7	13	-19	22
17	Cambuur	25	3	7	15	-33	16
18	De Graafschap	24	3	5	16	-23	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	12	10	2	0	+19	32
2	Ajax	12	10	1	1	+27	31
3	Nijmegen	13	8	2	3	+6	26
4	Groningen	12	7	3	2	+8	24
5	Vitesse	13	7	2	4	+16	23
6	Feyenoord	12	7	2	3	+11	23
7	AZ Alkmaar	13	7	2	4	+7	23
8	Heracles	12	7	2	3	+2	23
9	Twente	12	7	1	4	+4	22
10	Zwolle	11	6	2	3	+3	20
11	Heerenveen	12	5	4	3	+1	19
12	Utrecht	9	5	3	1	+5	18
13	Willem II	12	3	6	3	+3	15
14	Roda	13	3	6	4	-4	15
15	Den Haag	12	2	7	3	-2	13
16	Excelsior	13	3	3	7	-9	12
17	Cambuur	13	2	4	7	-16	10
18	De Graafschap	12	2	3	7	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	9	3	1	+21	30
2	Ajax	12	8	3	1	+14	27
3	AZ Alkmaar	11	5	2	4	+3	17
4	Den Haag	13	5	2	6	-1	17
5	Zwolle	12	4	3	5	+3	15
6	Vitesse	12	3	5	4	+4	14
7	Feyenoord	12	4	2	6	-2	14
8	Roda	12	3	4	5	-7	13
9	Heracles	11	3	3	5	-6	12
10	Utrecht	12	3	2	7	-4	11
11	Heerenveen	12	3	2	7	-12	11
12	Willem II	13	2	4	7	-7	10
13	Nijmegen	12	2	4	6	-7	10
14	Excelsior	12	2	4	6	-10	10
15	Groningen	12	2	4	6	-13	10
16	Twente	13	2	3	8	-17	9
17	Cambuur	12	1	3	8	-17	6
18	De Graafschap	12	1	2	9	-15	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.