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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero Lopez
Ath Madrid
S U S S S
3–0
Full-time
La Coruna
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid La Coruna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 46%
71%
21%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
32%
43%
Both score Ø 47%
29%
64%
Average goals
1,9
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 2. · La Coruna 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 29 24 3 2 +62 75
2 Ath Madrid 28 20 4 4 +30 64
3 Real Madrid 28 18 6 4 +54 60
4 Villarreal 28 15 8 5 +14 53
5 Sevilla 28 12 9 7 +10 45
6 Celta 29 13 6 10 -10 45
7 Ath Bilbao 28 13 5 10 +8 44
8 Eibar 28 10 6 12 +0 36
9 Malaga 29 9 9 11 +0 36
10 Sociedad 29 9 8 12 -3 35
11 Valencia 28 8 10 10 +0 34
12 Betis 28 8 10 10 -10 34
13 La Coruna 28 6 15 7 -2 33
14 Espanol 28 9 4 15 -26 31
15 Las Palmas 28 8 6 14 -10 30
16 Getafe 29 7 6 16 -24 27
17 Vallecano 28 6 8 14 -22 26
18 Granada 28 7 5 16 -24 26
19 Sp Gijon 29 6 6 17 -21 24
20 Levante 28 5 6 17 -26 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid La Coruna
1–0 Saúl
Filipe Luis
18′
Yannick Carrasco 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
Á. Correa 🔁
↦ L. Vietto
58′
59′
🔁 Luis Alberto
↦ Álex Bergantiños
59′
🔁 Rober
↦ Manuel Pablo
2–0 A. Griezmann
Koke
60′
M. Kranevitter 🔁
↦ A. Griezmann
65′
74′
🔁 Oriol Riera
↦ F. Cartabia
Óliver Torres 🔁
↦ Y. Ferreira Carrasco
79′
3–0 Á. Correa
Gabi
83′
90′
🟨 Laure
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

13 J. Oblak G
20 Juanfran D
3 Filipe Luis D
2 D. Godín D
24 J. Giménez D
14 Gabi M
17 Saúl M
6 Koke M
21 Y. Ferreira Carrasco M
7 A. Griezmann F
23 L. Vietto F
Bench (7)
16 Á. Correa
8 M. Kranevitter
10 Óliver Torres
1 Moyá
18 Jesús Gámez
19 L. Hernández
22 T. Partey

La Coruna

1 G. Lux G
2 Manuel Pablo D
23 Lopo D
15 Laure D
14 Alejandro Arribas D
22 C. Borges M
4 Álex Bergantiños M
5 Pedro Mosquera M
19 F. Fajr M
17 F. Cartabia M
20 Jonathan Rodríguez F
Bench (7)
21 Luis Alberto
27 Rober
9 Oriol Riera
3 Fernando Navarro
6 Cani
13 S. Pletikosa
24 J. Gutiérrez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mario Melero Lopez · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.