Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Heerenveen
Twente
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | +31 | 50 |
| 2 |
Ajax
|
21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | +36 | 49 |
| 3 |
Feyenoord
|
21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | +12 | 36 |
| 4 |
Nijmegen
|
21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | +4 | 34 |
| 5 |
Vitesse
|
21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | +19 | 33 |
| 6 |
Heracles
|
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | +4 | 32 |
| 7 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | +3 | 31 |
| 8 |
Groningen
|
20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | -1 | 31 |
| 9 |
Zwolle
|
19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | +5 | 29 |
| 10 |
Heerenveen
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | -6 | 29 |
| 11 |
Den Haag
|
22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | -1 | 27 |
| 12 |
Roda
|
22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 |
Utrecht
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | +0 | 23 |
| 14 |
Willem II
|
22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | -4 | 21 |
| 15 |
Excelsior
|
22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -16 | 19 |
| 16 |
Twente
|
21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -21 | 19 |
| 17 |
Cambuur
|
21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -27 | 13 |
| 18 |
De Graafschap
|
21 | 3 | 2 | 16 | -23 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Zeneli
F
M. Thorsby
M
S. Larsson
F
N. Marsman
G
J. Andersen
D
H. ter Avest
D
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Cambuur
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
Willem II
Zwolle
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
Den Haag
Dennis Higler · 127 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.