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Premier League

Referee: Mike Jones

Tottenham

S S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Swansea

S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Swansea

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,2

This season — Premier League · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 39%

54%

23%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

50%

46%

Both score Ø 54%

58%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,2

Scored

1,8

0,9

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

34 Shots 10

15 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 13

7 Corners 7

3 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tottenham 2. · Swansea 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	27	16	8	3	+20	56
2	Tottenham	26	14	9	3	+27	51
3	Arsenal	26	15	6	5	+18	51
4	Man City	26	14	5	7	+20	47
5	West Ham	27	11	10	6	+10	43
6	Man United	26	11	8	7	+9	41
7	Southampton	27	11	7	9	+9	40
8	Stoke	27	11	6	10	-4	39
9	Liverpool	26	10	8	8	+2	38
10	Watford	27	10	7	10	+1	37
11	Chelsea	27	9	9	9	+3	36
12	Everton	26	8	11	7	+11	35
13	West Brom	27	9	8	10	-7	35
14	Crystal Palace	27	9	5	13	-6	32
15	Bournemouth	27	7	8	12	-14	29
16	Swansea	26	6	9	11	-10	27
17	Norwich	27	6	6	15	-21	24
18	Newcastle	26	6	6	14	-22	24
19	Sunderland	27	6	5	16	-19	23
20	Aston Villa	27	3	7	17	-27	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	14	9	1	4	+18	28
2	Leicester	13	8	4	1	+9	28
3	Arsenal	13	8	3	2	+10	27
4	Tottenham	13	7	4	2	+14	25
5	Southampton	14	7	2	5	+9	23
6	West Ham	13	6	5	2	+7	23
7	Man United	12	6	4	2	+10	22
8	Chelsea	14	5	5	4	+5	20
9	Stoke	13	6	2	5	+1	20
10	Watford	14	5	4	5	+2	19
11	West Brom	14	5	4	5	-2	19
12	Newcastle	13	4	5	4	+2	17
13	Liverpool	12	4	5	3	-1	17
14	Swansea	14	4	5	5	-5	17
15	Everton	14	4	4	6	+4	16
16	Norwich	13	4	4	5	-2	16
17	Sunderland	13	4	3	6	+1	15
18	Crystal Palace	14	4	2	8	-4	14
19	Bournemouth	13	3	4	6	-6	13
20	Aston Villa	13	2	4	7	-10	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	14	8	4	2	+11	28
2	Tottenham	13	7	5	1	+13	26
3	Arsenal	13	7	3	3	+8	24
4	Liverpool	14	6	3	5	+3	21
5	West Ham	14	5	5	4	+3	20
6	Everton	12	4	7	1	+7	19
7	Man City	12	5	4	3	+2	19
8	Man United	14	5	4	5	-1	19
9	Stoke	14	5	4	5	-5	19
10	Watford	13	5	3	5	-1	18
11	Crystal Palace	13	5	3	5	-2	18
12	Southampton	13	4	5	4	+0	17
13	Chelsea	13	4	4	5	-2	16
14	West Brom	13	4	4	5	-5	16
15	Bournemouth	14	4	4	6	-8	16
16	Swansea	12	2	4	6	-5	10
17	Norwich	14	2	2	10	-19	8
18	Sunderland	14	2	2	10	-20	8
19	Newcastle	13	2	1	10	-24	7
20	Aston Villa	14	1	3	10	-17	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.