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La Liga

Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre

Barcelona

S S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Sevilla

U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

2,8

1,7

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,8

This season — La Liga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 62%

80%

44%

Points per game

2,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

76%

44%

Both score Ø 54%

56%

52%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

2,7

1,4

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,9

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

68% Possession 32%

17 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 1. · Sevilla 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	25	20	3	2	+47	63
2	Ath Madrid	26	18	4	4	+25	58
3	Real Madrid	26	16	6	4	+46	54
4	Villarreal	26	15	7	4	+15	52
5	Sevilla	25	11	8	6	+10	41
6	Celta	26	12	5	9	-5	41
7	Ath Bilbao	26	11	5	10	+3	38
8	Eibar	26	10	6	10	+5	36
9	Sociedad	26	9	7	10	+1	34
10	La Coruna	26	6	14	6	+1	32
11	Malaga	26	8	8	10	+0	32
12	Valencia	26	7	10	9	+1	31
13	Betis	26	6	10	10	-15	28
14	Espanol	26	8	4	14	-24	28
15	Getafe	26	7	5	14	-14	26
16	Vallecano	26	6	8	12	-17	26
17	Las Palmas	26	6	6	14	-15	24
18	Sp Gijon	26	6	6	14	-16	24
19	Granada	26	6	5	15	-24	23
20	Levante	26	5	5	16	-24	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	12	1	0	+37	37
2	Villarreal	14	11	2	1	+15	35
3	Real Madrid	14	11	1	2	+36	34
4	Sevilla	13	11	0	2	+16	33
5	Ath Madrid	12	8	3	1	+9	27
6	Eibar	14	7	3	4	+8	24
7	Ath Bilbao	12	6	3	3	+10	21
8	Getafe	14	6	3	5	+7	21
9	Celta	13	6	3	4	+1	21
10	Malaga	12	5	4	3	+7	19
11	Valencia	13	4	7	2	+4	19
12	Sociedad	13	5	4	4	+3	19
13	Espanol	12	5	4	3	-6	19
14	Vallecano	13	5	3	5	+0	18
15	Las Palmas	13	5	3	5	+0	18
16	La Coruna	13	3	7	3	+4	16
17	Levante	13	4	3	6	-4	15
18	Sp Gijon	13	3	4	6	-3	13
19	Betis	13	2	6	5	-8	12
20	Granada	12	3	2	7	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	14	10	1	3	+16	31
2	Barcelona	12	8	2	2	+10	26
3	Real Madrid	12	5	5	2	+10	20
4	Celta	13	6	2	5	-6	20
5	Villarreal	12	4	5	3	+0	17
6	Ath Bilbao	14	5	2	7	-7	17
7	La Coruna	13	3	7	3	-3	16
8	Betis	13	4	4	5	-7	16
9	Sociedad	13	4	3	6	-2	15
10	Malaga	14	3	4	7	-7	13
11	Eibar	12	3	3	6	-3	12
12	Valencia	13	3	3	7	-3	12
13	Granada	14	3	3	8	-15	12
14	Sp Gijon	13	3	2	8	-13	11
15	Espanol	14	3	0	11	-18	9
16	Sevilla	12	0	8	4	-6	8
17	Vallecano	13	1	5	7	-17	8
18	Las Palmas	13	1	3	9	-15	6
19	Levante	13	1	2	10	-20	5
20	Getafe	12	1	2	9	-21	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.