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Eredivisie

Referee: Bjorn Kuipers

Groningen

U S S U U

1–4

Full-time

Utrecht

T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 16/15 matches

Win Ø 39%

44%

33%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

38%

47%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,9

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%

11 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 11

3 Blocked shots 2

7 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Groningen 8. · Utrecht 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	18	14	2	2	+35	44
2	PSV Eindhoven	17	11	5	1	+23	38
3	Feyenoord	17	11	3	3	+19	36
4	Vitesse	18	9	4	5	+20	31
5	Zwolle	17	8	4	5	+7	28
6	Nijmegen	17	8	3	6	+4	27
7	Heracles	16	8	3	5	+3	27
8	Groningen	16	7	5	4	+0	26
9	AZ Alkmaar	18	6	4	8	-4	22
10	Utrecht	15	5	5	5	+0	20
11	Den Haag	18	4	8	6	-2	20
12	Heerenveen	18	5	5	8	-10	20
13	Willem II	17	4	6	7	-1	18
14	Excelsior	18	4	5	9	-13	17
15	Roda	18	3	7	8	-17	16
16	Twente	18	4	4	10	-19	16
17	Cambuur	18	2	7	9	-23	13
18	De Graafschap	18	2	2	14	-22	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	8	7	1	0	+16	22
2	Ajax	8	7	0	1	+22	21
3	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	2	0	+11	20
4	Groningen	8	6	2	0	+10	20
5	Nijmegen	9	6	2	1	+9	20
6	Vitesse	9	6	0	3	+14	18
7	Heracles	8	5	2	1	+7	17
8	Zwolle	9	5	2	2	+3	17
9	Utrecht	7	4	3	0	+6	15
10	Heerenveen	9	4	3	2	+1	15
11	Twente	9	4	1	4	-3	13
12	Willem II	9	3	3	3	+3	12
13	AZ Alkmaar	9	3	2	4	-1	11
14	Roda	10	2	5	3	-4	11
15	Den Haag	9	1	6	2	-1	9
16	Excelsior	8	2	2	4	-6	8
17	Cambuur	10	1	4	5	-14	7
18	De Graafschap	9	1	1	7	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	7	2	1	+13	23
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	5	3	1	+12	18
3	Feyenoord	9	4	2	3	+3	14
4	Vitesse	9	3	4	2	+6	13
5	Zwolle	8	3	2	3	+4	11
6	Den Haag	9	3	2	4	-1	11
7	AZ Alkmaar	9	3	2	4	-3	11
8	Heracles	8	3	1	4	-4	10
9	Excelsior	10	2	3	5	-7	9
10	Nijmegen	8	2	1	5	-5	7
11	Willem II	8	1	3	4	-4	6
12	Cambuur	8	1	3	4	-9	6
13	Groningen	8	1	3	4	-10	6
14	Utrecht	8	1	2	5	-6	5
15	Heerenveen	9	1	2	6	-11	5
16	Roda	8	1	2	5	-13	5
17	De Graafschap	9	1	1	7	-12	4
18	Twente	9	0	3	6	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.