Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Groningen
Den Haag
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ajax
|
13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | +29 | 32 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | +18 | 32 |
| 3 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +18 | 28 |
| 4 |
Heracles
|
13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 26 |
| 5 |
Vitesse
|
14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +15 | 24 |
| 6 |
Nijmegen
|
14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 |
| 7 |
Zwolle
|
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 21 |
| 8 |
Groningen
|
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 21 |
| 9 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +0 | 18 |
| 10 |
Heerenveen
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |
Excelsior
|
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 16 |
| 12 |
Roda
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -15 | 14 |
| 13 |
Utrecht
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |
Den Haag
|
13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 15 |
Willem II
|
14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 |
Twente
|
14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -20 | 9 |
| 17 |
Cambuur
|
14 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -23 | 7 |
| 18 |
De Graafschap
|
14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -21 | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
S. Padt
G
H. Hateboer
M
M. Hansen
G
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
De Graafschap
Groningen
Cambuur
Groningen
Groningen
Zwolle
Nijmegen
Groningen
Groningen
Willem II
Dennis Higler · 127 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.