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Eredivisie

Referee: Pol van Boekel

Nijmegen

S T U S S

1–0

Full-time

Utrecht

U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,8

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 12/11 matches

Win Ø 39%

50%

27%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

33%

55%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

82%

Average goals

2,3

3,4

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

14 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 4

5 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nijmegen 8. · Utrecht 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	10	2	1	+29	32
2	PSV Eindhoven	13	8	4	1	+18	28
3	Feyenoord	12	8	2	2	+11	26
4	Heracles	13	8	2	3	+10	26
5	Zwolle	12	6	3	3	+6	21
6	Groningen	13	6	3	4	-1	21
7	Vitesse	12	6	2	4	+14	20
8	Nijmegen	12	6	2	4	+4	20
9	AZ Alkmaar	13	5	3	5	+0	18
10	Excelsior	13	4	4	5	-5	16
11	Heerenveen	13	3	5	5	-4	14
12	Roda	13	3	5	5	-12	14
13	Utrecht	11	3	4	4	-1	13
14	Den Haag	12	2	6	4	-5	12
15	Twente	12	2	3	7	-13	9
16	Willem II	13	1	5	7	-7	8
17	Cambuur	13	0	7	6	-22	7
18	De Graafschap	13	0	2	11	-22	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Groningen	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Feyenoord	6	5	1	0	+8	16
3	Heracles	7	5	1	1	+7	16
4	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+18	15
5	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+7	13
6	Nijmegen	6	4	1	1	+6	13
7	Vitesse	6	4	0	2	+10	12
8	Utrecht	6	3	3	0	+5	12
9	Zwolle	6	3	2	1	+1	11
10	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	1	3	+0	10
11	Roda	8	2	4	2	-3	10
12	Heerenveen	6	2	3	1	+1	9
13	Den Haag	6	1	4	1	+0	7
14	Excelsior	5	2	1	2	-1	7
15	Twente	6	2	1	3	-6	7
16	Willem II	7	1	3	3	-1	6
17	Cambuur	7	0	4	3	-13	4
18	De Graafschap	7	0	1	6	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	5	2	0	+11	17
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	4	3	1	+11	15
3	Zwolle	6	3	1	2	+5	10
4	Heracles	6	3	1	2	+3	10
5	Feyenoord	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Excelsior	8	2	3	3	-4	9
7	Vitesse	6	2	2	2	+4	8
8	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Nijmegen	6	2	1	3	-2	7
10	Heerenveen	7	1	2	4	-5	5
11	Den Haag	6	1	2	3	-5	5
12	Groningen	7	1	2	4	-10	5
13	Roda	5	1	1	3	-9	4
14	Cambuur	6	0	3	3	-9	3
15	Willem II	6	0	2	4	-6	2
16	Twente	6	0	2	4	-7	2
17	Utrecht	5	0	1	4	-6	1
18	De Graafschap	6	0	1	5	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.