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Eredivisie

Referee: Bjorn Kuipers

PSV Eindhoven

S S U S S

3–1

Full-time

Utrecht

T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

4,0

3,7

Scored

2,5

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 11/10 matches

Win Ø 47%

64%

30%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

73%

50%

Both score Ø 81%

82%

80%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

2,6

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

15 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 1

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 4. · Utrecht 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	9	1	1	+25	28
2	Feyenoord	11	8	1	2	+11	25
3	Heracles	12	8	1	3	+10	25
4	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	3	1	+16	24
5	Vitesse	11	6	2	3	+16	20
6	Nijmegen	12	6	2	4	+4	20
7	Zwolle	11	5	3	3	+1	18
8	Groningen	11	5	2	4	-2	17
9	Excelsior	12	4	3	5	-5	15
10	Heerenveen	12	3	5	4	-2	14
11	Roda	12	3	5	4	-7	14
12	Utrecht	10	3	4	3	+1	13
13	AZ Alkmaar	11	3	3	5	-4	12
14	Den Haag	12	2	6	4	-5	12
15	Twente	12	2	3	7	-13	9
16	Willem II	12	1	4	7	-7	7
17	Cambuur	11	0	6	5	-18	6
18	De Graafschap	12	0	2	10	-21	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Groningen	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	+8	15
3	Heracles	6	5	0	1	+7	15
4	Nijmegen	6	4	1	1	+6	13
5	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+14	12
6	Vitesse	5	4	0	1	+12	12
7	Utrecht	6	3	3	0	+5	12
8	Zwolle	6	3	2	1	+1	11
9	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+5	10
10	Roda	7	2	4	1	+2	10
11	Heerenveen	6	2	3	1	+1	9
12	Den Haag	6	1	4	1	+0	7
13	Excelsior	5	2	1	2	-1	7
14	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	1	3	-2	7
15	Twente	6	2	1	3	-6	7
16	Willem II	6	1	2	3	-1	5
17	Cambuur	6	0	3	3	-13	3
18	De Graafschap	6	0	1	5	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	PSV Eindhoven	7	4	2	1	+11	14
3	Heracles	6	3	1	2	+3	10
4	Feyenoord	6	3	1	2	+3	10
5	Vitesse	6	2	2	2	+4	8
6	Excelsior	7	2	2	3	-4	8
7	Zwolle	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Nijmegen	6	2	1	3	-2	7
9	AZ Alkmaar	5	1	2	2	-2	5
10	Heerenveen	6	1	2	3	-3	5
11	Den Haag	6	1	2	3	-5	5
12	Roda	5	1	1	3	-9	4
13	Cambuur	5	0	3	2	-5	3
14	Willem II	6	0	2	4	-6	2
15	Twente	6	0	2	4	-7	2
16	Utrecht	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	De Graafschap	6	0	1	5	-11	1
18	Groningen	5	0	1	4	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.