Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Strasbourg
Reims
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
29 | 26 | 2 | 1 | +71 | 80 |
| 2 |
Lille
|
30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | +22 | 60 |
| 3 |
Lyon
|
30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | +16 | 56 |
| 4 |
St Etienne
|
30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | +8 | 49 |
| 5 |
Marseille
|
30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +7 | 48 |
| 6 |
Reims
|
29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | +4 | 46 |
| 7 |
Nice
|
30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | -7 | 44 |
| 8 |
Montpellier
|
29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | +6 | 42 |
| 9 |
Rennes
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +2 | 41 |
| 10 |
Strasbourg
|
29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | +10 | 39 |
| 11 |
Angers
|
30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | +0 | 37 |
| 12 |
Nimes
|
29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | -3 | 37 |
| 13 |
Bordeaux
|
30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | -3 | 35 |
| 14 |
Toulouse
|
30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -16 | 32 |
| 15 |
Nantes
|
29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 31 |
| 16 |
Monaco
|
30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | -15 | 30 |
| 17 |
Amiens
|
30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -19 | 30 |
| 18 |
Caen
|
30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -20 | 23 |
| 19 |
Guingamp
|
29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -32 | 22 |
| 20 |
Dijon
|
30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -26 | 21 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Sels
G
K. Lala
M
Y. Fofana
M
Nuno Da Costa
F
Coach: T. Laurey
A. Baba
D
A. Zeneli
F
Coach: D. Guion
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Nimes
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Lyon
Nice
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Lille
Caen
Strasbourg
J Stinat · 142 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.