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Ligue 1

Referee: A Gautier

St Etienne

S T U S S

2–1

Full-time

Marseille

S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 19/18 matches

Win Ø 46%

47%

44%

Points per game

1,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

47%

61%

Both score Ø 52%

53%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%

11 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 14

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 4. · Marseille 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	18	16	2	0	+43	50
2	Lille	20	11	4	5	+12	37
3	Lyon	20	9	7	4	+9	34
4	St Etienne	19	9	6	4	+7	33
5	Montpellier	19	8	7	4	+10	31
6	Nice	20	8	6	6	-3	30
7	Strasbourg	20	7	8	5	+8	29
8	Rennes	20	8	5	7	+2	29
9	Marseille	18	8	4	6	+4	28
10	Reims	20	6	9	5	-3	27
11	Nimes	19	7	5	7	-1	26
12	Bordeaux	19	6	7	6	+0	25
13	Nantes	20	6	5	9	-1	23
14	Toulouse	20	5	7	8	-11	22
15	Angers	19	4	8	7	-3	20
16	Caen	20	3	9	8	-8	18
17	Amiens	20	5	3	12	-17	18
18	Dijon	19	4	5	10	-15	17
19	Monaco	20	3	6	11	-13	15
20	Guingamp	20	3	5	12	-20	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	9	0	0	+25	27
2	St Etienne	9	7	2	0	+13	23
3	Lille	10	6	3	1	+11	21
4	Lyon	11	6	3	2	+9	21
5	Marseille	9	5	3	1	+11	18
6	Montpellier	10	4	4	2	+7	16
7	Strasbourg	10	4	4	2	+6	16
8	Bordeaux	10	4	4	2	+3	16
9	Reims	10	4	4	2	+2	16
10	Nantes	10	4	3	3	+8	15
11	Rennes	9	4	2	3	+2	14
12	Nice	10	4	2	4	-4	14
13	Nimes	9	3	3	3	+2	12
14	Angers	10	2	4	4	-2	10
15	Caen	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Toulouse	10	2	4	4	-4	10
17	Amiens	10	3	1	6	-5	10
18	Dijon	9	2	2	5	-9	8
19	Guingamp	10	1	3	6	-8	6
20	Monaco	10	0	4	6	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	7	2	0	+18	23
2	Lille	10	5	1	4	+1	16
3	Nice	10	4	4	2	+1	16
4	Montpellier	9	4	3	2	+3	15
5	Rennes	11	4	3	4	+0	15
6	Nimes	10	4	2	4	-3	14
7	Strasbourg	10	3	4	3	+2	13
8	Lyon	9	3	4	2	+0	13
9	Toulouse	10	3	3	4	-7	12
10	Monaco	10	3	2	5	-3	11
11	Reims	10	2	5	3	-5	11
12	Angers	9	2	4	3	-1	10
13	St Etienne	10	2	4	4	-6	10
14	Marseille	9	3	1	5	-7	10
15	Bordeaux	9	2	3	4	-3	9
16	Dijon	10	2	3	5	-6	9
17	Caen	10	1	5	4	-5	8
18	Nantes	10	2	2	6	-9	8
19	Guingamp	10	2	2	6	-12	8
20	Amiens	10	2	2	6	-12	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.