Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Everton
Newcastle
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man City
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | +38 | 41 |
| 2 |
Liverpool
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | +22 | 36 |
| 3 |
Chelsea
|
14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +19 | 31 |
| 4 |
Arsenal
|
14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 30 |
| 5 |
Tottenham
|
14 | 10 | 0 | 4 | +10 | 30 |
| 6 |
Bournemouth
|
15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | +3 | 23 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 |
Man United
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 |
Leicester
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |
Brighton
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 |
Watford
|
15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 |
West Ham
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 18 |
| 13 |
Wolves
|
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -4 | 16 |
| 14 |
Newcastle
|
14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 12 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -9 | 12 |
| 16 |
Cardiff
|
15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -16 | 11 |
| 17 |
Huddersfield
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -16 | 10 |
| 18 |
Southampton
|
14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -14 | 9 |
| 19 |
Burnley
|
14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -16 | 9 |
| 20 |
Fulham
|
14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -21 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Liverpool
Everton
Everton
Cardiff
Chelsea
Everton
Everton
Brighton
Man United
Everton
Lee Mason · 111 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.