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Premier League
Referee: Lee Mason
Everton
T S U S T
1–1
Full-time
Newcastle
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton Newcastle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Premier League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 32%
43%
21%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

76% Possession 24%
19 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
14 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Everton 7. · Newcastle 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 15 13 2 0 +38 41
2 Liverpool 14 11 3 0 +22 36
3 Chelsea 14 9 4 1 +19 31
4 Arsenal 14 9 3 2 +14 30
5 Tottenham 14 10 0 4 +10 30
6 Bournemouth 15 7 2 6 +3 23
7 Everton 14 6 4 4 +4 22
8 Man United 14 6 4 4 -1 22
9 Leicester 14 6 3 5 +3 21
10 Brighton 15 6 3 6 -2 21
11 Watford 15 6 2 7 -3 20
12 West Ham 15 5 3 7 -3 18
13 Wolves 14 4 4 6 -4 16
14 Newcastle 14 3 3 8 -8 12
15 Crystal Palace 15 3 3 9 -9 12
16 Cardiff 15 3 2 10 -16 11
17 Huddersfield 15 2 4 9 -16 10
18 Southampton 14 1 6 7 -14 9
19 Burnley 14 2 3 9 -16 9
20 Fulham 14 2 2 10 -21 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.