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Ligue 1
Referee: Francois Letexier
Nice
T U U S S
1–2
Full-time
Paris SG
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,7
3,0
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 29/30 matches
Win Ø 64%
41%
87%
Points per game
1,4
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
55%
77%
Both score Ø 50%
52%
47%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,3
3,1
Conceded
1,4
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+2,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%
14 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nice 8. · Paris SG 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 30 26 2 2 +73 80
2 Monaco 30 20 6 4 +42 66
3 Marseille 29 17 8 4 +25 59
4 Lyon 29 15 9 5 +25 54
5 Rennes 30 13 6 11 +3 45
6 Nantes 29 12 7 10 +0 43
7 Montpellier 30 9 15 6 +3 42
8 Nice 29 12 6 11 -2 42
9 Dijon 30 10 8 12 -14 38
10 Bordeaux 30 10 7 13 -6 37
11 St Etienne 29 9 9 11 -13 36
12 Angers 31 8 11 12 -6 35
13 Guingamp 29 9 8 12 -13 35
14 Caen 30 10 5 15 -14 35
15 Strasbourg 30 8 8 14 -19 32
16 Amiens 30 8 7 15 -9 31
17 Toulouse 30 7 9 14 -12 30
18 Troyes 30 8 5 17 -15 29
19 Lille 30 7 7 16 -19 28
20 Metz 29 5 5 19 -29 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.