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Ligue 1
Referee: Bartolomeu Varela Teles
Bordeaux
T S S U T
5–1
Full-time
Montpellier
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Montpellier
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 33%
38%
28%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
45%
59%
Both score Ø 59%
48%
69%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 8
5 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 9
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Bordeaux 6. · Montpellier 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Monaco 29 21 5 3 +58 68
2 Paris SG 29 20 5 4 +38 65
3 Nice 30 18 10 2 +24 64
4 Lyon 28 16 2 10 +27 50
5 Marseille 30 13 7 10 +6 46
6 Bordeaux 29 11 10 8 +1 43
7 St Etienne 29 10 11 8 +9 41
8 Guingamp 29 10 8 11 +1 38
9 Rennes 29 9 11 9 -5 38
10 Nantes 30 10 8 12 -16 38
11 Toulouse 29 9 9 11 -1 36
12 Angers 29 10 6 13 -10 36
13 Metz 29 9 8 12 -24 35
14 Lille 30 9 7 14 -8 34
15 Montpellier 29 8 9 12 -7 33
16 Caen 29 9 5 15 -17 32
17 Dijon 29 6 10 13 -8 28
18 Nancy 29 7 7 15 -18 28
19 Bastia 30 5 10 15 -20 25
20 Lorient 29 6 4 19 -30 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Montpellier
1–0 D. Rolan
D. Contento
25′
2–0 Y. Sankhare
29′
3–0 V. Vada
32′
Half-time 3–1
47′
R. Boudebouz 3–1
61′
🔁 I. Mbenza
↦ M. Deplagne
61′
🔁 K. Dolly
↦ J. Ikone
J. Plašil 🔁
↦ V. Vada
69′
A. Ounas 🔁
↦ F. Kamano
72′
73′
🔁 S. Camara
↦ J. Roussillon
4–1 D. Rolan
Y. Sabaly
76′
J. Ménez 🔁
↦ D. Rolan
80′
81′
🟥 Daniel Congré
5–1 Malcom
A. Ounas
92′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Bordeaux

4-3-3
16 C. Carrasso G
6 I. Lewczuk D
3 D. Contento D
5 N. Pallois D
20 Y. Sabaly D
14 J. Toulalan D
13 Y. Sankhare M
23 V. Vada M
9 D. Rolan F
25 Malcom F
11 F. Kamano F
Bench (7)
18 J. Plašil
17 A. Ounas
7 J. Ménez
4 V. Jovanović
8 M. Arambarri
24 G. Laborde
30 J. Prior

Coach: J. Gourvennec

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
1 L. Pionnier G
3 D. Congré D
4 Hilton D
25 M. Deplagne D
24 J. Roussillon D
23 N. Mukiele D
28 S. Sessègnon M
10 R. Boudebouz M
13 E. Skhiri M
11 J. Ikone M
15 S. Mounié F
Bench (7)
18 I. Mbenza
20 K. Dolly
19 S. Camara
6 J. Marveaux
12 L. Pokorný
21 W. Rémy
30 J. Ligali

Coach: J. Gasset

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bartolomeu Varela Teles · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
13,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.