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Primeira Liga
Referee: Bruno Miguel Duarte Paixao
Boavista
T S U S T
2–0
Full-time
Arouca
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Arouca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 6
5 Offside 0
21 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Apr -16 Boavista – Arouca 0–0 6. Dec -15 Arouca – Boavista 3–2

Match report

Boavista Arouca
1–0 I. Mandiang ⚽
Tiago Mesquita
5′
17′
🟨 Jubal
2–0 Lucas ⚽
Renato Santos
25′
31′
🔁 M. de Jesús
↦ Zequinha
39′
🟨 Marlon de Jesús
Half-time 2–0
Carraça 🟨
49′
57′
🔁 Nuno Valente
↦ Crivellaro
76′
🟨 Nuno Coelho
Digas 🔁
↦ A. Schembri
77′
77′
🔁 Sancidino Silva
↦ André Santos
Tengarrinha 🔁
↦ Fábio Espinho
84′
89′
🟨 Walter González
Samú 🔁
↦ Renato Santos
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Boavista

4-2-3-1
1 Mika G
23 Nuno Henrique D
3 Lucas D
28 Tiago Mesquita D
5 Talocha D
30 A. Schembri F
10 Fábio Espinho M
27 Anderson Carvalho M
42 I. Mandiang M
17 Carraça D
7 Renato Santos M
Bench (7)
70 Digas
8 Tengarrinha
21 Samú
9 Idelino
25 M. Ba
94 Philipe Sampaio
14 L. Medić

Coach: E. Sánchez

Arouca

4-2-3-1
1 Rafael Bracalli G
5 Anderson Luis D
14 Gêgê D
33 Jubal D
3 Hugo Basto D
66 Nuno Coelho M
26 André Santos M
50 Crivellaro M
12 Mateus M
87 Zequinha M
95 Walter González F
Bench (7)
9 M. de Jesús
10 Nuno Valente
20 Sancidino Silva
7 Artur Moreira
8 Adilson Goiano
4 J. Velázquez
13 Rui Sacramento

Coach: Lito Vidigal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Bruno Miguel Duarte Paixao · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,58 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.