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Ligue 1

Referee: Benoît Millot

Marseille

T U S S U

0–0

Full-time

Toulouse

U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

10 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Metz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Caen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Guingamp	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Lille	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Rennes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Metz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Caen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Guingamp	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Lille	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Rennes	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.