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Ligue 1

Referee: Amaury Delerue

Paris SG

S T S S S

4–0

Full-time

Rennes

S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Rennes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,8

Scored

3,5

1,8

Conceded

0,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 34/35 matches

Win Ø 58%

79%

37%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

59%

46%

Both score Ø 52%

41%

63%

Average goals

3,1

2,8

Scored

2,6

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,1

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%

27 Shots 9

12 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

5 Corners 2

6 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Rennes 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	34	27	5	2	+71	86
2	Lyon	35	17	8	10	+21	59
3	Monaco	35	15	14	6	+9	59
4	Nice	35	16	9	10	+15	57
5	St Etienne	35	17	6	12	+8	57
6	Lille	35	13	14	8	+10	53
7	Rennes	35	13	13	9	+5	52
8	Angers	35	13	11	11	+5	50
9	Caen	35	14	5	16	-15	47
10	Nantes	35	11	12	12	-7	45
11	Montpellier	35	12	7	16	+1	43
12	Guingamp	35	11	10	14	-7	43
13	Lorient	35	10	13	12	-8	43
14	Bastia	35	12	7	16	-8	43
15	Bordeaux	34	10	13	11	-11	43
16	Marseille	35	8	17	10	+4	41
17	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	35	8	13	14	-15	37
18	Reims	35	9	9	17	-14	36
19	Toulouse	35	7	12	16	-12	33
20	Troyes	35	3	8	24	-52	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	13	3	1	+39	42
2	Nice	18	11	2	5	+14	35
3	Lyon	17	10	4	3	+20	34
4	St Etienne	17	10	3	4	+11	33
5	Lille	18	9	5	4	+10	32
6	Bastia	18	10	2	6	+8	32
7	Monaco	17	8	6	3	+8	30
8	Bordeaux	17	7	6	4	+4	27
9	Angers	17	6	8	3	+7	26
10	Nantes	17	7	5	5	+0	26
11	Caen	17	8	2	7	-5	26
12	Lorient	17	6	7	4	+5	25
13	Guingamp	18	6	7	5	+4	25
14	Rennes	18	6	7	5	+1	25
15	Montpellier	18	8	0	10	+1	24
16	Reims	17	6	5	6	+3	23
17	Toulouse	18	5	7	6	+7	22
18	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	18	5	7	6	-5	22
19	Marseille	18	2	11	5	+2	17
20	Troyes	17	1	6	10	-21	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	14	2	1	+32	44
2	Monaco	18	7	8	3	+1	29
3	Rennes	17	7	6	4	+4	27
4	Lyon	18	7	4	7	+1	25
5	Marseille	17	6	6	5	+2	24
6	Angers	18	7	3	8	-2	24
7	St Etienne	18	7	3	8	-3	24
8	Nice	17	5	7	5	+1	22
9	Lille	17	4	9	4	+0	21
10	Caen	18	6	3	9	-10	21
11	Montpellier	17	4	7	6	+0	19
12	Nantes	18	4	7	7	-7	19
13	Guingamp	17	5	3	9	-11	18
14	Lorient	18	4	6	8	-13	18
15	Bordeaux	17	3	7	7	-15	16
16	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	17	3	6	8	-10	15
17	Reims	18	3	4	11	-17	13
18	Bastia	17	2	5	10	-16	11
19	Toulouse	17	2	5	10	-19	11
20	Troyes	18	2	2	14	-31	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.