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Ligue 1

Referee: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj

Monaco

S S U U S

4–0

Full-time

Toulouse

T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 31%

43%

19%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

43%

52%

Both score Ø 60%

57%

62%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%

14 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

0 Free kicks against 0

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monaco 3. · Toulouse 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	22	19	3	0	+46	60
2	Nice	22	10	6	6	+11	36
3	Monaco	21	9	9	3	+4	36
4	Rennes	22	8	10	4	+7	34
5	Angers	22	9	7	6	+3	34
6	Caen	22	10	3	9	-4	33
7	St Etienne	21	10	2	9	+0	32
8	Bordeaux	22	7	9	6	-3	30
9	Marseille	21	7	8	6	+9	29
10	Lyon	21	8	5	8	+2	29
11	Nantes	22	7	8	7	-2	29
12	Lorient	22	6	9	7	-2	27
13	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	22	6	8	8	-3	26
14	Lille	22	5	10	7	-1	25
15	Bastia	22	7	4	11	-6	25
16	Guingamp	22	6	6	10	-9	24
17	Montpellier	22	6	4	12	-6	22
18	Reims	21	5	7	9	-7	22
19	Toulouse	21	4	8	9	-11	20
20	Troyes	22	1	8	13	-28	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	9	1	0	+27	28
2	St Etienne	11	7	2	2	+8	23
3	Bastia	11	7	0	4	+6	21
4	Bordeaux	11	6	3	2	+5	21
5	Nice	11	6	1	4	+6	19
6	Angers	11	4	6	1	+4	18
7	Lyon	10	5	2	3	+7	17
8	Lorient	11	4	4	3	+4	16
9	Guingamp	11	4	4	3	+2	16
10	Nantes	11	4	4	3	+0	16
11	Caen	11	5	1	5	-6	16
12	Lille	11	4	3	4	+2	15
13	Montpellier	12	5	0	7	-2	15
14	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	10	3	5	2	+2	14
15	Rennes	11	3	5	3	-1	14
16	Monaco	10	3	5	2	-1	14
17	Reims	11	3	4	4	+0	13
18	Marseille	11	2	6	3	+6	12
19	Toulouse	10	2	5	3	+0	11
20	Troyes	12	0	6	6	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	10	2	0	+19	32
2	Monaco	11	6	4	1	+5	22
3	Rennes	11	5	5	1	+8	20
4	Nice	11	4	5	2	+5	17
5	Marseille	10	5	2	3	+3	17
6	Caen	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	Angers	11	5	1	5	-1	16
8	Nantes	11	3	4	4	-2	13
9	Lyon	11	3	3	5	-5	12
10	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	12	3	3	6	-5	12
11	Lorient	11	2	5	4	-6	11
12	Lille	11	1	7	3	-3	10
13	Reims	10	2	3	5	-7	9
14	Bordeaux	11	1	6	4	-8	9
15	St Etienne	10	3	0	7	-8	9
16	Toulouse	11	2	3	6	-11	9
17	Guingamp	11	2	2	7	-11	8
18	Montpellier	10	1	4	5	-4	7
19	Troyes	10	1	2	7	-18	5
20	Bastia	11	0	4	7	-12	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.