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Eredivisie
Referee: Richard Liesveld
AZ Alkmaar
T T T U S
4–2
Full-time
Feyenoord
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 47%
33%
61%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
61%
50%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,9
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,1
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

40% Possession 60%
18 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 11. · Feyenoord 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 19 15 2 2 +36 47
2 PSV Eindhoven 18 12 5 1 +25 41
3 Feyenoord 18 11 3 4 +17 36
4 Vitesse 19 9 4 6 +19 31
5 Nijmegen 19 9 4 6 +5 31
6 Heracles 17 9 3 5 +4 30
7 Zwolle 17 8 4 5 +7 28
8 Groningen 18 7 6 5 -3 27
9 Utrecht 16 6 5 5 +3 23
10 Heerenveen 19 6 5 8 -8 23
11 AZ Alkmaar 18 6 4 8 -4 22
12 Den Haag 18 4 8 6 -2 20
13 Roda 19 4 7 8 -16 19
14 Willem II 19 4 6 9 -4 18
15 Excelsior 19 4 5 10 -14 17
16 Twente 18 4 4 10 -19 16
17 Cambuur 18 2 7 9 -23 13
18 De Graafschap 19 2 2 15 -23 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Feyenoord
12′
M. Kramer 0–1
1–1 M. Henriksen
R. Haps
23′
2–1 V. Janssen
A. Jahanbakhsh
26′
Half-time 3–1
3–1 V. Janssen
J. van Overeem
53′
C. Ortiz 🔁
↦ R. Haps
54′
4–1 V. Janssen
D. dos Santos
55′
56′
🔁 J. Toornstra
↦ Simon Gustafson
57′
🟨 Sven van Beek
61′
🔁 J. van der Heijden
↦ S. van Beek
L. Garcia 🔁
↦ D. dos Santos
68′
72′
T. Vilhena 4–2
Vincent Janssen 🟨
78′
Joris Van Overeem 🟨
80′
R. Mühren 🔁
↦ V. Janssen
88′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

1 S. Rochet G
12 R. Vlaar D
2 M. Johansson D
24 R. Haps D
30 S. Wuytens D
10 M. Henriksen M
17 B. Rienstra M
8 J. van Overeem M
19 D. dos Santos F
9 A. Jahanbakhsh F
18 V. Janssen F
Bench (7)
6 C. Ortiz
28 L. Garcia
21 R. Mühren
11 M. Tankovic
16 G. Coutinho
20 T. Haye
33 P. Hatzidiakos

Feyenoord

1 K. Vermeer G
18 M. Nelom D
4 T. Kongolo D
3 S. van Beek D
2 R. Karsdorp D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
21 T. Vilhena M
27 Simon Gustafson M
7 D. Kuijt M
11 E. Elia M
31 M. Kramer F
Bench (7)
28 J. Toornstra
6 J. van der Heijden
5 M. Vejinovic
14 B. Basaçikoglu
26 B. Nieuwkoop
29 A. Achahbar
22 J. Bijlow

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Richard Liesveld · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
7,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.