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Ligue 1
Referee: Benoît Millot
Bordeaux
S T U S T
3–1
Full-time
Monaco
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 34%
25%
42%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 58%
58%
58%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

38% Possession 62%
9 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 10
2 Offside 5
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 14. · Monaco 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 13 11 2 0 +25 35
2 Caen 13 8 0 5 +0 24
3 Lyon 12 6 4 2 +9 22
4 St Etienne 12 7 1 4 +3 22
5 Angers 13 6 4 3 +3 22
6 Nice 13 6 3 4 +10 21
7 Lorient 13 5 5 3 +4 20
8 Rennes 13 5 5 3 +3 20
9 Monaco 12 5 5 2 +1 20
10 Nantes 13 6 1 6 -2 19
11 Guingamp 13 4 4 5 -4 16
12 Marseille 13 4 3 6 +4 15
13 Reims 13 4 3 6 -2 15
14 Bordeaux 12 3 5 4 -4 14
15 Bastia 13 4 2 7 -5 14
16 Lille 13 2 7 4 -1 13
17 Montpellier 13 3 3 7 -5 12
18 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 13 3 3 7 -6 12
19 Toulouse 13 1 6 6 -14 9
20 Troyes 13 0 4 9 -19 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.