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Premier League
Referee: Jonathan Moss
West Ham
S T
3–4
Full-time
Bournemouth
T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Ham Bournemouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
1,0
Scored
1,5
0,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
1,0
Scored
1,5
0,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Ham 8. · Bournemouth 19. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man United 3 2 1 0 +2 7
2 Man City 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Leicester 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Liverpool 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Everton 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Swansea 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Crystal Palace 2 1 0 1 +1 3
8 West Ham 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Norwich 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Aston Villa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Arsenal 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Watford 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Newcastle 3 0 2 1 -2 2
14 Tottenham 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Stoke 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Chelsea 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Southampton 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 West Brom 2 0 1 1 -3 1
19 Bournemouth 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Sunderland 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Ham Bournemouth
11′
⚽ C. Wilson 0–1
S. Francis
28′
⚽ C. Wilson 0–2
J. Tomkins 🔁
↦ A. Ogbonna
35′
Half-time 0–2
M. Jarvis 🔁
↦ K. Nolan
46′
1–2 M. Noble ⚽
48′
51′
🔁 M. Pugh
↦ J. King
2–2 C. Kouyaté ⚽
53′
66′
⚽ M. Pugh 2–3
M. Gradel
M. Maïga 🔁
↦ D. Sakho
73′
75′
🟨 Artur Boruc
Carl Jenkinson 🟥
79′
79′
⚽ C. Wilson 2–4
3–4 M. Maïga ⚽
A. Cresswell
82′
85′
🔁 D. Gosling
↦ M. Gradel
94′
🔁 A. Smith
↦ M. Ritchie
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

West Ham

1 D. Randolph G
21 A. Ogbonna D
2 W. Reid D
3 A. Cresswell D
12 C. Jenkinson D
4 K. Nolan F
16 M. Noble M
8 C. Kouyaté M
14 Pedro Obiang M
27 D. Payet F
15 D. Sakho F
Bench (7)
5 J. Tomkins
7 M. Jarvis
20 M. Maïga
19 J. Collins
28 M. Lanzini
34 R. Spiegel
39 J. Cullen

Bournemouth

1 A. Boruc G
5 T. Elphick D
2 S. Francis D
11 C. Daniels D
3 S. Cook D
6 A. Surman M
30 M. Ritchie M
32 E. O'Kane M
10 M. Gradel M
13 C. Wilson F
17 J. King F
Bench (7)
7 M. Pugh
4 D. Gosling
15 A. Smith
14 T. Mings
18 Y. Kermorgant
23 A. Federici
25 S. Distin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jonathan Moss · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.