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Championship
Referee: Tim Robinson
2–1
Full-time
Hull
S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charlton Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
This season — Championship · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Charlton 6. · Hull 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ipswich 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Hull 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Brighton 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Milton Keynes Dons 3 2 0 1 +3 6
5 Middlesbrough 3 1 2 0 +3 5
6 Charlton 3 1 2 0 +2 5
7 Birmingham 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Sheffield Weds 4 1 2 1 +1 5
9 Preston 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Brentford 2 1 1 0 +2 4
11 Wolves 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Leeds 4 0 4 0 +0 4
13 Derby 4 0 4 0 +0 4
14 Nott'm Forest 3 1 1 1 +0 4
15 QPR 3 1 1 1 -1 4
16 Cardiff 3 0 3 0 +0 3
17 Blackburn 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Reading 3 0 2 1 -1 2
19 Burnley 3 0 2 1 -2 2
20 Huddersfield 3 0 2 1 -2 2
21 Fulham 3 0 1 2 -2 1
22 Bristol City 3 0 1 2 -4 1
23 Rotherham 3 0 1 2 -4 1
24 Bolton 3 0 1 2 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charlton Hull
K. Ahearne-Grant 🔁
↦ Cristian Ceballos
24′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 S. Makienok
J. Guðmunds­son
52′
El-Hadji Ba 🟨
56′
58′
🔁 I. Hayden
↦ T. Huddlestone
64′
🔁 A. Hernández
↦ C. Akpom
R. Charles-Cook 🔁
↦ E. Ba
69′
Zakarya Bergdich 🟨
75′
C. Harriott 🔁
↦ Z. Bergdich
75′
78′
🔁 S. Clucas
↦ A. Robertson
89′
A. Hernández 1–1
90′
🟨 Abel Hernández
2–1 J. Guðmunds­son
S. Makienok
98′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Charlton

30 N. Pope G
19 Z. Bergdich D
5 P. Bauer D
21 M. Fox D
12 A. Diarra M
7 J. Guðmunds­son M
3 A. Kashi M
22 E. Ba M
8 J. Cousins M
9 S. Makienok F
10 Cristian Ceballos M
Bench (7)
18 K. Ahearne-Grant
24 R. Charles-Cook
11 C. Harriott
27 D. Mitov
31 M. Kennedy
6 N. Sarr
26 H. Lennon

Hull

1 A. McGregor G
21 M. Dawson D
6 C. Davies D
26 A. Robertson D
8 T. Huddlestone M
24 S. Aluko M
27 Ahmed El Mohamady D
7 D. Meyler M
2 M. Odubajo D
18 N. Jelavić F
19 C. Akpom F
Bench (7)
20 I. Hayden
9 A. Hernández
11 S. Clucas
4 A. Bruce
12 H. Maguire
5 R. Taylor
16 E. Jakupovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tim Robinson · 110 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.