Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sandefjord
Stabaek
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rosenborg
|
20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | +37 | 48 |
| 2 |
Stabaek
|
20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | +14 | 41 |
| 3 |
Viking
|
20 | 12 | 1 | 7 | +14 | 37 |
| 4 |
Valerenga
|
20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | +9 | 36 |
| 5 |
Odd
|
20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | +9 | 32 |
| 6 |
Stromsgodset
|
19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | +5 | 30 |
| 7 |
Lillestrom
|
21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | -4 | 28 |
| 8 |
Molde
|
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | +16 | 27 |
| 9 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 26 |
| 10 |
Aalesund
|
20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | -14 | 25 |
| 11 |
Haugesund
|
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | -9 | 24 |
| 12 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | -7 | 20 |
| 13 |
Start
|
20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -13 | 19 |
| 14 |
Mjondalen
|
20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -16 | 19 |
| 15 |
Tromso
|
21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 17 |
| 16 |
Sandefjord
|
20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | -23 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Tromso
Sandefjord
Sandefjord
Mjondalen
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
Valerenga
Sandefjord
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.