Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lazio
Chievo
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | +43 | 84 |
| 2 |
Napoli
|
32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | +33 | 67 |
| 3 |
Inter
|
32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | +24 | 60 |
| 4 |
Milan
|
33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | +16 | 56 |
| 5 |
Roma
|
32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +12 | 54 |
| 6 |
Atalanta
|
32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | +23 | 53 |
| 7 |
Lazio
|
32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | +13 | 52 |
| 8 |
Torino
|
32 | 12 | 14 | 6 | +12 | 50 |
| 9 |
Sampdoria
|
32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | +12 | 48 |
| 10 |
Fiorentina
|
32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | +7 | 40 |
| 11 |
Sassuolo
|
32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 |
Cagliari
|
32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -13 | 37 |
| 13 |
Parma
|
33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -17 | 36 |
| 14 |
Spal
|
32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 35 |
| 15 |
Genoa
|
32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | -16 | 34 |
| 16 |
Udinese
|
32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | -16 | 32 |
| 17 |
Bologna
|
32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -16 | 31 |
| 18 |
Empoli
|
32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -19 | 29 |
| 19 |
Frosinone
|
32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -33 | 23 |
| 20 |
Chievo
|
32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | -45 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
T. Strakosha
G
A. Marušić
M
Coach: S. Inzaghi
A. Šemper
G
F. Barba
D
M. Bani
D
F. Depaoli
D
M. Léris
M
M. Stępiński
F
Coach: D. Di Carlo
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Daniele Chiffi · 37 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.