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Serie A
Referee: Fabio Maresca
Torino
S S S T U
2–1
Full-time
Sampdoria
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
This season — Serie A · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 42%
38%
45%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
41%
59%
Both score Ø 52%
52%
52%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

46% Possession 54%
18 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 9. · Sampdoria 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 30 26 3 1 +43 81
2 Napoli 30 19 6 5 +31 63
3 Inter 29 16 5 8 +18 53
4 Milan 30 14 10 6 +16 52
5 Atalanta 29 14 6 9 +20 48
6 Lazio 28 14 6 8 +13 48
7 Roma 29 13 8 8 +10 47
8 Sampdoria 29 13 6 10 +12 45
9 Torino 29 11 12 6 +11 45
10 Fiorentina 29 8 14 7 +8 38
11 Genoa 29 8 9 12 -10 33
12 Cagliari 30 8 9 13 -14 33
13 Parma 29 9 6 14 -16 33
14 Sassuolo 29 7 11 11 -9 32
15 Udinese 29 7 8 14 -14 29
16 Spal 29 7 8 14 -16 29
17 Empoli 30 7 7 16 -18 28
18 Bologna 29 6 9 14 -16 27
19 Frosinone 29 3 8 18 -33 17
20 Chievo 29 1 11 17 -36 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Sampdoria
1–0 A. Belotti
L. De Silvestri
33′
41′
🔁 L. Tonelli
↦ O. Colley
Half-time 2–0
2–0 A. Belotti
46′
57′
🟨 Bartosz Bereszyński
60′
🔁 G. Defrel
↦ G. Ramírez
Lorenzo De Silvestri 🟨
61′
V. Parigini 🔁
↦ L. De Silvestri
68′
74′
🔁 J. Jankto
↦ K. Linetty
76′
🟨 Nicola Murru
K. Djidji 🔁
↦ E. Moretti
82′
83′
M. Gabbiadini 2–1
G. Defrel
Tomás Rincón 🟨
86′
S. Lukić 🔁
↦ Álex Berenguer
89′
Saša Lukić 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Manolo Gabbiadini
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Torino

3-5-1-1
39 S. Sirigu G
24 E. Moretti D
29 L. De Silvestri M
15 C. Ansaldi M
33 N. N'Koulou D
5 A. Izzo D
88 T. Rincón M
23 S. Meïté M
8 D. Baselli M
9 A. Belotti F
21 Álex Berenguer F
Bench (8)
27 V. Parigini
30 K. Djidji
7 S. Lukić
19 V. Damaşcan
25 A. Rosati
11 S. Zaza
1 S. Ichazo
36 Bremer

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Sampdoria

4-3-1-2
1 E. Audero G
24 B. Bereszyński D
29 N. Murru D
3 J. Andersen D
15 O. Colley D
11 G. Ramírez M
10 D. Praet M
16 K. Linetty M
4 R. Vieira Nan M
27 F. Quagliarella F
23 M. Gabbiadini F
Bench (10)
26 L. Tonelli
92 G. Defrel
14 J. Jankto
20 M. Sau
22 Junior Tavares
33 Rafael
5 R. Saponara
7 J. Sala
72 V. Belec
25 A. Ferrari

Coach: M. Giampaolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Fabio Maresca · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,42 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.