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Serie A
Referee: Massimiliano Irrati
Sassuolo
S U T T U
3–0
Full-time
Cagliari
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Cagliari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
This season — Serie A · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 25%
30%
20%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
50%
35%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

43% Possession 57%
15 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 12
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 12. · Cagliari 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 20 18 2 0 +30 56
2 Napoli 20 15 2 3 +21 47
3 Inter 20 12 4 4 +17 40
4 Milan 20 9 7 4 +8 34
5 Roma 20 9 6 5 +11 33
6 Lazio 20 9 5 6 +6 32
7 Atalanta 20 9 4 7 +17 31
8 Sampdoria 20 8 6 6 +9 30
9 Parma 20 8 4 8 -5 28
10 Fiorentina 20 6 9 5 +7 27
11 Torino 20 6 9 5 +4 27
12 Sassuolo 20 6 8 6 -2 26
13 Cagliari 20 4 9 7 -8 21
14 Genoa 20 5 5 10 -12 20
15 Udinese 20 4 6 10 -8 18
16 Spal 20 4 6 10 -12 18
17 Empoli 20 4 5 11 -15 17
18 Bologna 20 2 8 10 -14 14
19 Chievo 20 1 8 11 -24 11
20 Frosinone 20 1 7 12 -30 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.