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Serie A
Referee: Marco Di Bello
Napoli
S S T U S
2–1
Full-time
Torino
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
This season — Serie A · 17/16 matches
Win Ø 49%
59%
38%
Points per game
2,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
59%
50%
Both score Ø 52%
47%
56%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

59% Possession 41%
17 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Napoli 4. · Torino 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 18 12 3 3 +13 39
2 Fiorentina 18 12 2 4 +20 38
3 Juventus 18 11 3 4 +17 36
4 Napoli 17 10 5 2 +18 35
5 Roma 18 9 6 3 +14 33
6 Sassuolo 17 7 7 3 +5 28
7 Milan 18 8 4 6 +2 28
8 Empoli 18 8 3 7 +0 27
9 Atalanta 18 7 3 8 -1 24
10 Lazio 18 7 3 8 -6 24
11 Udinese 18 7 3 8 -8 24
12 Chievo 18 6 5 7 +3 23
13 Sampdoria 18 6 5 7 -1 23
14 Torino 16 6 4 6 +1 22
15 Bologna 18 7 1 10 -4 22
16 Palermo 18 5 3 10 -11 18
17 Genoa 18 4 4 10 -9 16
18 Frosinone 18 4 3 11 -17 15
19 Carpi 18 2 5 11 -18 11
20 Verona 18 0 8 10 -18 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Napoli Torino
2′
🟨 Afriyie Acquah
Gonzalo Higuaín 🟨
6′
1–0 L. Insigne
José Callejón
16′
21′
F. Quagliarella 1–1
2–1 M. Hamšík
L. Insigne
41′
Half-time 2–1
47′
🟨 Daniele Baselli
59′
🟨 Kamil Glik
66′
🔁 M. López
↦ A. Belotti
D. Mertens 🔁
↦ L. Insigne
68′
72′
🟨 Cesare Bovo
73′
🔁 D. Zappacosta
↦ Bruno Peres
Allan 🔁
↦ David López
74′
81′
🔁 M. Benassi
↦ A. Acquah
Raúl Albiol 🟨
86′
N. Chalobah 🔁
↦ M. Hamšík
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Napoli

25 Pepe Reina G
33 Albiol D
26 K. Koulibaly D
2 E. Hysaj D
31 F. Ghoulam D
17 M. Hamšík M
6 M. Valdifiori M
19 David López D
9 G. Higuaín F
7 José Callejón F
24 L. Insigne F
Bench (11)
14 D. Mertens
5 Allan
94 N. Chalobah
1 Rafael
3 I. Strinić
11 C. Maggio
20 J. Dezi
22 Gabriel
23 M. Gabbiadini
77 O. El Kaddouri
96 S. Luperto

Torino

1 D. Padelli G
24 E. Moretti D
5 C. Bovo D
3 C. Molinaro D
25 K. Glik D
33 Bruno Peres D
20 G. Vives M
6 A. Acquah M
16 D. Baselli M
27 F. Quagliarella F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (11)
11 M. López
7 D. Zappacosta
15 M. Benassi
13 L. Castellazzi
14 A. Gazzi
17 J. Martínez
18 P. Jansson
21 G. Silva
23 S. Prcić
28 S. Ichazo
44 V. Pryyma

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marco Di Bello · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.