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Primeira Liga
Referee: Luis Miguel Rodrigues Ferreira
U. Madeira
S T U S T
1–0
Full-time
Boavista
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

U. Madeira Boavista
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 17%
20%
13%
Points per game
0,9
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
40%
33%
Both score Ø 27%
27%
27%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,6
0,6
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
4 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 8
7 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match U. Madeira 15. · Boavista 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 15 12 2 1 +19 38
2 Porto 15 11 3 1 +21 36
3 Benfica 15 11 1 3 +25 34
4 Sp Braga 15 7 5 3 +12 26
5 Vitoria Setubal 15 5 7 3 +5 22
6 Pacos Ferreira 15 6 4 5 +4 22
7 Rio Ave 15 6 3 6 +1 21
8 Arouca 15 4 8 3 +2 20
9 Guimaraes 15 5 4 6 -5 19
10 Maritimo 15 5 3 7 -7 18
11 Moreirense 15 4 5 6 -3 17
12 Estoril 15 4 5 6 -6 17
13 Belenenses 15 4 5 6 -14 17
14 Nacional 15 4 4 7 -3 16
15 U. Madeira 15 3 5 7 -12 14
16 Academica 15 3 4 8 -13 13
17 Boavista 15 2 4 9 -12 10
18 Tondela 15 2 2 11 -14 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

U. Madeira Boavista
Half-time 0–0
50′
🟨 Emmanuel Hackman
1–0 Toni Silva
55′
64′
🔁 M. Uchebo
↦ A. Bukia
68′
🟨 Nuno Henrique
71′
🔁 Renato Santos
↦ Anderson Carvalho
75′
🔁 Samú
↦ I. Mandiang
Rúben Andrade 🔁
↦ Toni Silva
77′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

U. Madeira

95 André Moreira G
37 Paulo Monteiro
5 Joãozinho D
2 Paulinho D
44 Diego Galo D
14 A. Shehu M
3 William Soares
10 Breitner
20 Toni Silva F
18 J. Cádiz F
23 Amilton M
Bench (7)
7 Rúben Andrade
6 Tiago Ferreira
27 E. Farías
15 Danilo Dias
8 Carlos Manuel
12 Rafael Alves
22 Filipe Chaby

Boavista

12 Gideão
5 Paulo Vinicius D
23 Nuno Henrique D
6 Anderson Correia D
8 Tengarrinha M
27 Anderson Carvalho M
42 I. Mandiang M
95 A. Bukia F
14 E. Hackman D
70 Zé Manuel M
77 Luisinho
Bench (7)
75 M. Uchebo
17 Renato Santos
88 Samú
4 R. Gabriel
29 M. Ba
22 Carlos Santos
99 Rivaldinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Luis Miguel Rodrigues Ferreira · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.