Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Napoli
Torino
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | +13 | 39 |
| 2 |
Fiorentina
|
18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | +20 | 38 |
| 3 |
Juventus
|
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | +17 | 36 |
| 4 |
Napoli
|
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | +18 | 35 |
| 5 |
Roma
|
18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | +14 | 33 |
| 6 |
Sassuolo
|
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | +5 | 28 |
| 7 |
Milan
|
18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 28 |
| 8 |
Empoli
|
18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +0 | 27 |
| 9 |
Atalanta
|
18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | -1 | 24 |
| 10 |
Lazio
|
18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 |
Udinese
|
18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 24 |
| 12 |
Chievo
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 23 |
| 13 |
Sampdoria
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | +1 | 22 |
| 15 |
Bologna
|
18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | -4 | 22 |
| 16 |
Palermo
|
18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -11 | 18 |
| 17 |
Genoa
|
18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -9 | 16 |
| 18 |
Frosinone
|
18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -17 | 15 |
| 19 |
Carpi
|
18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -18 | 11 |
| 20 |
Verona
|
18 | 0 | 8 | 10 | -18 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
David López
D
L. Insigne
F
D. Padelli
G
K. Glik
D
A. Belotti
F
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Atalanta
Napoli
Napoli
Roma
Bologna
Napoli
Napoli
Inter
Verona
Napoli
Marco Di Bello · 77 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.