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Serie A

Referee: Massimiliano Irrati

Carpi

T U T T S

0–0

Full-time

Milan

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Carpi Milan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

This season — Serie A · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 32%

14%

50%

Points per game

0,6

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

71%

50%

Both score Ø 57%

64%

50%

Average goals

2,9

2,6

Scored

0,9

1,4

Conceded

1,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

11 Shots 20

3 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 8

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 12

2 Offside 5

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Carpi 19. · Milan 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	15	10	3	2	+9	33
2	Fiorentina	15	10	2	3	+18	32
3	Napoli	15	9	4	2	+16	31
4	Roma	15	8	4	3	+12	28
5	Juventus	15	8	3	4	+11	27
6	Sassuolo	15	7	5	3	+5	26
7	Atalanta	15	7	3	5	+3	24
8	Milan	14	7	2	5	+1	23
9	Torino	15	6	4	5	+2	22
10	Empoli	15	6	3	6	-3	21
11	Chievo	15	5	4	6	+4	19
12	Lazio	15	6	1	8	-7	19
13	Udinese	15	5	3	7	-6	18
14	Sampdoria	15	4	4	7	-4	16
15	Bologna	15	5	1	9	-5	16
16	Genoa	15	4	4	7	-5	16
17	Palermo	15	4	3	8	-10	15
18	Frosinone	15	4	2	9	-12	14
19	Carpi	14	2	3	9	-14	9
20	Verona	15	0	6	9	-15	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	8	6	1	1	+13	19
2	Napoli	7	6	1	0	+11	19
3	Inter	8	6	1	1	+6	19
4	Roma	7	5	1	1	+9	16
5	Atalanta	7	5	1	1	+9	16
6	Lazio	8	5	1	2	+6	16
7	Milan	7	5	1	1	+3	16
8	Torino	8	4	3	1	+6	15
9	Sassuolo	7	4	3	0	+4	15
10	Sampdoria	8	4	2	2	+5	14
11	Juventus	7	4	2	1	+5	14
12	Genoa	7	4	1	2	+2	13
13	Frosinone	8	4	1	3	+1	13
14	Bologna	8	3	1	4	+1	10
15	Empoli	7	3	1	3	-1	10
16	Chievo	7	2	2	3	+2	8
17	Udinese	7	2	2	3	-1	8
18	Palermo	8	2	2	4	-5	8
19	Carpi	7	1	2	4	-3	5
20	Verona	8	0	3	5	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	7	4	2	1	+3	14
2	Juventus	8	4	1	3	+6	13
3	Fiorentina	7	4	1	2	+5	13
4	Napoli	8	3	3	2	+5	12
5	Roma	8	3	3	2	+3	12
6	Chievo	8	3	2	3	+2	11
7	Sassuolo	8	3	2	3	+1	11
8	Empoli	8	3	2	3	-2	11
9	Udinese	8	3	1	4	-5	10
10	Atalanta	8	2	2	4	-6	8
11	Milan	7	2	1	4	-2	7
12	Torino	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	Palermo	7	2	1	4	-5	7
14	Bologna	7	2	0	5	-6	6
15	Carpi	7	1	1	5	-11	4
16	Genoa	8	0	3	5	-7	3
17	Verona	7	0	3	4	-7	3
18	Lazio	7	1	0	6	-13	3
19	Sampdoria	7	0	2	5	-9	2
20	Frosinone	7	0	1	6	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.