Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Sassuolo
Carpi
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 27 |
| 2 |
Fiorentina
|
11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | +13 | 24 |
| 3 |
Roma
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +12 | 23 |
| 4 |
Napoli
|
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 22 |
| 5 |
Milan
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 20 |
| 6 |
Sassuolo
|
11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 19 |
| 7 |
Atalanta
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 |
Lazio
|
11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
| 9 |
Sampdoria
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 10 |
Juventus
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 15 |
| 11 |
Torino
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |
Empoli
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |
Chievo
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 14 |
Bologna
|
12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 |
Udinese
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 |
Genoa
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 |
Palermo
|
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 |
Frosinone
|
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 10 |
| 19 |
Verona
|
12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -11 | 6 |
| 20 |
Carpi
|
11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
L. Pellegrini
M
D. Berardi
F
S. Romagnoli
D
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Udinese
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Juventus
Milan
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Lazio
Empoli
Sassuolo
Paolo Valeri · 66 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.