La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sociedad
Eibar
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | +21 | 34 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | +14 | 32 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid
|
14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +20 | 30 |
| 4 |
Celta
|
14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 25 |
| 5 |
La Coruna
|
14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | +7 | 22 |
| 6 |
Villarreal
|
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 7 |
Valencia
|
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +7 | 20 |
| 8 |
Ath Bilbao
|
13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 20 |
| 9 |
Eibar
|
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 10 |
Sevilla
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +0 | 19 |
| 11 |
Betis
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 19 |
| 12 |
Espanol
|
13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 16 |
| 13 |
Getafe
|
14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -8 | 14 |
| 14 |
Vallecano
|
13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 14 |
| 15 |
Sociedad
|
13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 |
Sp Gijon
|
13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 12 |
| 17 |
Granada
|
14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 |
Malaga
|
13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 |
Las Palmas
|
13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 10 |
| 20 |
Levante
|
13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
G. Rulli
G
Yuri
D
Aritz Elustondo
D
Canales
M
Dani García
M
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Barcelona
Sociedad
Sociedad
Sevilla
Las Palmas
Sociedad
Sociedad
Celta
Levante
Sociedad
Mario Melero Lopez · 86 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.