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Serie A
Referee: Gianluca Rocchi
Frosinone
S T U T S
0–2
Full-time
Chievo
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Frosinone Chievo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
43%
36%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Frosinone 18. · Chievo 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 15 10 3 2 +9 33
2 Napoli 15 9 4 2 +16 31
3 Fiorentina 14 9 2 3 +15 29
4 Roma 15 8 4 3 +12 28
5 Juventus 15 8 3 4 +11 27
6 Sassuolo 14 6 5 3 +3 23
7 Milan 14 7 2 5 +1 23
8 Torino 15 6 4 5 +2 22
9 Atalanta 14 6 3 5 +0 21
10 Lazio 15 6 1 8 -7 19
11 Udinese 14 5 3 6 -3 18
12 Empoli 14 5 3 6 -4 18
13 Chievo 14 4 4 6 +2 16
14 Sampdoria 14 4 4 6 -2 16
15 Bologna 15 5 1 9 -5 16
16 Genoa 15 4 4 7 -5 16
17 Palermo 14 4 3 7 -7 15
18 Frosinone 14 4 2 8 -10 14
19 Carpi 14 2 3 9 -14 9
20 Verona 14 0 6 8 -14 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Frosinone Chievo
16′
🟨 Nicola Rigoni
Mirko Gori 🟨
22′
Federico Dionisi 🟨
27′
33′
🟨 Alberto Paloschi
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Dario Dainelli
58′
🔁 R. Meggiorini
↦ R. Inglese
M. Carlini 🔁
↦ D. Soddimo
66′
68′
🔁 S. Pepe
↦ V. Birsa
R. Gucher 🔁
↦ M. Gori
75′
80′
🔁 G. Pinzi
↦ I. Radovanović
82′
🟨 Fabrizio Cacciatore
Modibo Diakité 🟨
88′
89′
A. Paloschi 0–1
90′
🟨 Simone Pepe
90′
🟨 Simone Pepe
90′
🟥 Simone Pepe
S. Longo 🔁
↦ D. Bertoncini
90′
93′
R. Meggiorini 0–2
A. Paloschi
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Frosinone

33 N. Leali G
28 A. Rosi M
24 M. Diakité D
20 D. Pavlovic
69 D. Bertoncini
10 D. Soddimo M
21 P. Sammarco M
5 M. Gori M
18 F. Dionisi F
9 D. Ciofani F
17 L. Paganini F
Bench (12)
29 M. Carlini
8 R. Gucher
12 S. Longo
1 Massimo Zappino
3 R. Crivello
7 A. Frara
11 D. Verde
13 M. Ciofani
19 A. Tonev
23 L. Gomis
30 N. Castillo
93 Arlind Ajeti

Chievo

1 A. Bizzarri G
5 A. Gamberini D
3 D. Dainelli D
18 M. Gobbi D
29 F. Cacciatore D
23 V. Birsa M
4 N. Rigoni M
56 P. Hetemaj M
8 I. Radovanović M
43 A. Paloschi F
45 R. Inglese F
Bench (8)
69 R. Meggiorini
7 S. Pepe
6 G. Pinzi
20 G. Sardo
21 N. Frey
31 S. Pellissier
32 W. Bressan
90 A. Seculin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Gianluca Rocchi · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.